Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40356398›Full record

ArticleBrain and behavior2025

Risk Factors and Prognostic Models in Acute Large Vessel Occlusion Stroke: Insights From ASPECTS-Net Water Uptake.

Hongru Ou, Huanhua Wu, Shuolong Wu, Qian Cao, Xiaozheng Cao, Guanye Zhang, Jiabin Mo, Youzhu Hu

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In one paragraph

Article in Brain and behavior, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hongru OuDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Huanhua WuCentral Laboratory, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2690-9234
Shuolong WuDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Qian CaoDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Xiaozheng CaoCentral Laboratory, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Guanye ZhangDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Jiabin MoDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.
Youzhu HuDepartment of General Surgery, The Affiliated Shunde Hospital of Jinan University, Foshan, Guangdong, P. R. China.

Funding

Medical Joint Fund of Jinan University YXJC2024007Medical Joint Fund of Jinan University YXZY2024020Scientific and Technological Project of Foshan City 2220001004147Scientific and Technological Project of Foshan City 2320001007494Scientific and Technological Project of Foshan City 2420001004035
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe outcomes of endovascular reperfusion in acute large vessel occlusion stroke (ALVOS) vary, with some patients recovering fully while others face disability or mortality despite recanalization. Alberta stroke program early CT score-net water uptake (ASPECTS-NWU), a quantitative imaging metric assessing tissue edema and infarct progression, may improve prognostic accuracy.

methodsThis study included 96 ALVOS patients between December 2020 and March 2024. Patients were categorized into good (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] 0-2) and poor (mRS 3-6) prognosis groups based on 90-day mRS outcomes. Feature selection using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), Boruta, and logistic regression (LR) identified key predictors, including LVO, Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS), ASPECTS from the follow-up CT (ASPECTSFCT), and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores. Predictive performance was validated with cross-validation, and model calibration was assessed via calibration curves, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, area under the curve (AUC), and the Spiegelhalter Z-test (significance set at p < 0.05).

resultsLR highlighted LVO, ASPECTS, ASPECTSFCT, and NIHSS as significant predictors of poor prognosis. The constructed nomogram enables individualized risk assessment, with total points correlating to poor outcome probability. ROC analysis showed good discriminatory ability in the training set (AUC 0.815, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.714-0.916) but moderate performance in the test set (AUC 0.688, 95% CI: 0.484-0.891). Calibration was strong in the training set (Spiegelhalter Z < 0.0001) but showed minor issues in the test set (Spiegelhalter Z = 1.222).

conclusionsThis study highlights the prognostic value of ASPECTS-NWU in ALVOS and its integration into a predictive nomogram for individualized risk assessment. By refining ischemic injury stratification, ASPECTS-NWU can guide therapeutic decisions, optimize post-reperfusion management, and improve patient outcomes.

Indexed as

Ischemic StrokeStrokeAgedAged, 80 and overBrain EdemaFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsTomography, X-Ray Computedacute ischemic strokeAlberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS)net water uptakenomogramprognosis

Identifiers

PMID40356398
PMCPMC12069852

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.