Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40357206›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in endocrinology2025

Global, regional, and national burden of cardiovascular disease attributable to high body mass index from 1990 to 2021 and projection to 2045.

Hui Li, Lifang Liang, Zhenyu Song, Yongfeng Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in endocrinology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Hui Li *GMU-GIBH Joint School of Life Sciences, The Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Joint Laboratory for Cell Fate Regulation and Diseases, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Lifang Liang *Guangxi Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health and Birth Defect Prevention, Maternal and Child Health Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Nanning, China.
Zhenyu SongLaboratory Animal Center of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.
Yongfeng LiSchool of Public Health, Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: High body mass index (HBMI) is strongly associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the global burden of CVD attributable to HBMI remains poorly defined. This study aims to elucidate the current burden and temporal trends of CVD attributable to HBMI. Methods: We used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 to estimate CVD deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to HBMI. Our analysis examines trends in deaths and DALYs by age, gender, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI) across global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2021. We used health inequality and decomposition analyses to quantify the influencing factors of disease burden and a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model to predict the potential trend of HBMI on CVD burden. Results: In 2021, HBMI-related CVD resulted in approximately 1.9 million deaths and 45.43 million DALYs among urban and rural populations, with an age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of 22.77 (95% UI, 12.87-34.24) and an age-standardized disability rate (ASDR) of 529.00 (95% UI, 277.28-808.64) per 100,000 people. Over the study period, the overall CVD burden attributable to HBMI decreased significantly, while the burden of atrial fibrillation and flutter increased. The disease burden was closely tied to socioeconomic development and was unevenly distributed, with middle SDI regions experiencing a heavier burden. The highest burden was observed in individuals aged 84 and older, with a significant increase in the 20-44 age group. Decomposition analysis revealed that the increase in DALYs was driven by population growth. Projections from the BAPC model suggest that by 2045, global DALYs of CVD attributable to HBMI may continue to increase. Conclusions: This study provides a comprehensive epidemiological assessment of the CVD burden attributable to HBMI across various regions and populations, offering valuable insights for guiding policy and research efforts.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexCardiovascular DiseasesGlobal Burden of DiseaseObesityAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal HealthHumansMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life Yearscardiovascular diseaseepidemiologyglobal burden of diseasehigh body mass indexpublic health

Identifiers

PMID40357206
PMCPMC12066273

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.