Evidence mapPaperPMID 40386247Full record

ArticleGlobal heart2025

National and Subnational Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases in Iran from 1990 to 2021: Results from Global Burden of Diseases 2021 study.

Mahsa Heidari-Foroozan, Melina Farshbafnadi, Ali Golestani, Sepehr Younesian, Hosein Jafary, Mohammad-Mahdi Rashidi, Ozra Tabatabaei-Malazy, Nazila Rezaei, Mostafa Moghimi Kheirabady, Arash Bagherian Ghotbi and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global heart, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Depression, health anxiety, and five-year mortality after ST-elevation myocardial infarction: the SEMI-CI cohort.International journal of cardiology. Cardiovascular risk and prevention · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Mahsa Heidari-ForoozanNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0003-3969-8015
Melina FarshbafnadiNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-3698-2363
Ali GolestaniNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-5192-0435
Sepehr YounesianNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0009-0000-6696-7298
Hosein JafaryNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0009-0003-0520-0183
Mohammad-Mahdi RashidiNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0002-7460-6000
Ozra Tabatabaei-MalazySchool of Medicine, Golestan University of Medical Sciences, Gorgan, Iran.ORCID 0000-0003-0188-9721
Nazila RezaeiNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0003-4241-1783
Mostafa Moghimi KheirabadySchool of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0009-0000-0787-127X
Arash Bagherian GhotbiSchool of Medicine, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0009-0007-8491-4502
Seyyed-Hadi GhamariNon-Communicable Diseases Research Center, Endocrinology and Metabolism Population Science Institute, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.ORCID 0000-0001-6028-3303

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: In 2021, cardiovascular diseases (CVD) caused around 20.5 million deaths worldwide, making them a major health concern. Methods: Incidence, prevalence, death, years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability (YLD), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were the burden measures that were assessed. All measures are reported as both all-age numbers and age-standardized rates (ASR) with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI). Decomposition analysis was conducted on CVD incidence. Results: From 1990 to 2021, all-age CVD prevalence in Iran increased by 182.6% (2.9 to 8.3 million cases), with males consistently showing higher age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR) than females (11,350 vs. 9,431 per 100,000 in 2021). ASPR remained stable nationally (9,956 to 10,386 per 100,000), peaking in adults ≥80 years. Incident cases rose by 159.6% (0.36 to 0.92 million), driven by population growth (49.5%) and aging (136.2%), while age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) declined by 28.3% (1,337 to 1,197 per 100,000); with males (1,336) exhibiting higher rates than females (1,060) in 2021. All age deaths doubled (86,527 to 169,582) during this period, but age-standardized death rates (ASDR) decreased substantially by 42.97% (446 to 255 per 100,000). DALYs increased by 53.7% (2.4 to 3.7 million), though age-standardized DALY rates dropped 45.3% (9,096 to 4,977 per 100,000), dominated by ischemic heart disease (2,731 ASR) and stroke (1,229 ASR). High systolic blood pressure, dietary risks, and LDL cholesterol remained the leading contributors to DALYs nationwide. Conclusion: Iran's rising CVD burden demands prioritizing cardiac care infrastructure in underserved provinces like Golestan, enforcing sodium reduction policies aligned with Iran's existing trans-fat regulations, and integrating sex-specific programs such as tobacco control for males and community hypertension screening for women are critical. Multisectoral collaboration, including urban design promoting physical activity and subsidies for whole grains, must address provincial inequities exacerbated by Iran's aging population and dietary risks.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCost of IllnessAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceInfantIranCardiovascular DiseasesEmbolismEpidemiologyGBDIranMyocardial Ischemia

Identifiers

PMID40386247
PMCPMC12083073

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.