Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40416367›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in nutrition2025

Trends in the burden of chronic diseases attributable to diet-related risk factors from 1990 to 2021 and the global projections through 2030: a population-based study.

Huan Ma, Minyan Wang, Chu Qin, Yun Shi, Oscar Onayi Mandizadza, Haojie Ni, Conghua Ji

Abstract read
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Article in Frontiers in nutrition, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Effects of Different Dietary Levels of Chia (Food science & nutrition · 2026
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  8. Lived experience of people with hypertension in Ethiopia: A phenomenological study, 2025.American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Huan Ma *School of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Minyan Wang *School of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Chu Qin *School of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Yun Shi *School of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Oscar Onayi MandizadzaSchool of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Haojie NiSchool of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Conghua JiSchool of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The global burden of diet-related chronic diseases and their future projections remain unclear. To address this gap, we present the latest data on deaths and disability-adjusted life years attributable to dietary factors from 1990 to 2021, focusing on noncommunicable diseases worldwide. Additionally, we provide predictions of mortality rates across different age groups through 2030. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 were analyzed to evaluate correlations between dietary factors and trends in chronic disease burden over a 30-year period. Moreover, we predicted the burden of chronic dietary diseases up to 2030. Results: From 1990 to 2021, global age-standardized mortality rates and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates associated with dietary factors decreased by approximately one-third for neoplasms and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). In high sociodemographic index (SDI) regions, neoplasm-related deaths showed a stronger correlation with dietary factors, particularly high red meat intake. In cardiovascular diseases, the leading dietary factors are low-grain diets, whereas in diabetes, it is due to increased intake of processed meat. In low-SDI regions, diets low in vegetables showed the strongest association with neoplasm-related mortality, while diets low in fruits were significantly linked to CVD and diabetes burden. High-sodium diet was a significant risk factor for CVD in the middle-SDI regions. Moreover, the 2030 projections indicated a decline in mortality from neoplasms and CVDs, with a slight increase in mortality rates from diabetes. Conclusion: The global burden of chronic diseases linked to dietary factors shows varying trends across different countries and regions, particularly influenced by their economic development levels. This variation underscores the necessity of enhancing dietary structures to mitigate chronic disease prevalence and foster overall health.

Indexed as

chronic diseasesdietglobal burden of diseasepredictiontemporal trends

Identifiers

PMID40416367
PMCPMC12098078

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.