ArticleTobacco induced diseases2025
The global burden of bladder, kidney, and prostate cancers attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021 and projections for the next two decades: A cross-sectional study.
Article in Tobacco induced diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Prediction of overall survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and second primary malignancies: a prognostic model based on the SEER database.Translational cancer research · 2026Article
- Kidney, Prostate, and Bladder Cancer Burden Attributable to Tobacco Smoke Exposure in BRICS Countries from 1990 to 2021: A Systematic Analysis Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
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4 authors.
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Abstract
introductionSmoking increases the risk of bladder and kidney cancers and is associated with a poorer prognosis in prostate cancer (PCa) patients, which poses a significant health and socioeconomic burden. Understanding the epidemiologic trends of urological cancers attributable to smoking is critical to developing targeted prevention strategies. This study examines global trends in the three urological cancers attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021 and projects future trends over the next two decades.
methodsData were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. Metrics included deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), and age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR), with uncertainty intervals (UIs). Burden comparisons were stratified by sex, age, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression to calculate annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Future trends were predicted using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model.
resultsCompared with 1990, the number of deaths of bladder cancer, kidney cancer and PCa attributable to smoking increased by 43%, 67%, and 31%, and the number of DALYs increased by 31%, 52%, and 29% in 2021. However, the corresponding age-standardized rates showed a downward trend (AAPC
conclusionsSmoking has imposed a substantial disease burden on urological cancers over the past three decades. While overall ASDR and ASMR are declining, the disease burden remains high among men, especially those in high-SDI areas. This emphasizes the need for increased tobacco control for these populations or regions.
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