Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40419803›Full record

ArticleNature aging2025

Pace of Aging analysis of healthspan and lifespan in older adults in the US and UK.

Arun Balachandran, Heming Pei, Yifan Shi, John R Beard, Avshalom Caspi, Alan A Cohen, Benjamin W Domingue, Claire Eckstein Indik, Luigi Ferrucci, Alex Furuya and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature aging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. A generalized approach for estimating the Pace of Aging.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Embracing non-linearity in human ageing.Nature reviews. Genetics · 2026
    Review
  5. Article
  6. An epigenetic speedometer to measure Pace of Aging: FraminghamPACE.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Arun BalachandranRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6856-7140
Heming PeiRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
Yifan ShiRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
John R BeardRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8557-0242
Avshalom CaspiDepartment of Psychology & Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0082-4600
Alan A CohenRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4113-3988
Benjamin W DomingueGraduate School of Education, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Claire Eckstein IndikRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-0251-5905
Luigi FerrucciNational Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6273-1613
Alex FuruyaRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
Meeraj KothariRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
Terrie E MoffittDepartment of Psychology & Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Calen P RyanRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0550-7949
Vegard SkirbekkNorwegian Institute for Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Yuan S ZhangRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
Daniel W BelskyRobert N Butler Columbia Aging Center, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA. daniel.belsky@columbia.edu.

Funding

HRS Yrs29-34: Y33 SSA CoFundingU01AG009740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jessica Faul, KENNETH M LANGA · 1990 to 2026
$555.8M
Resources and DisseminationP30AG066619 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI EMILY J ROGALSKI · 2020 to 2026
$6.8M
Science CoreP2CHD065563 · NICHD · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI Giovanna M Merli · 2015 to 2026
$5.7M
Global HIV Implementation Science Research Training Grant RenewalT32AI114398 · NIAID · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Yael R Hirsch-Moverman · 2014 to 2026
$4.1M
Long-term multi-omics follow-up of the CALERIE Trial to generate new knowledge for geroscienceR01AG061378 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Daniel Walker Belsky · 2019 to 2026
$2.9M
NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI114398NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066619NIA NIH HHS R01 AG061378NIA NIH HHS U01 AG009740NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD065563U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH) R01AG061378
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As societies age, policy makers need tools to understand how demographic aging will affect population health and to develop programs to increase healthspan. The current metrics used for policy do not distinguish differences caused by early-life factors, like prenatal care and nutrition, from those caused by ongoing changes in people's bodies that are due to aging and that may be modifiable. Here we introduce an adapted Pace of Aging method designed to quantify differences between individuals and populations in the speed of aging-related health declines. The adapted Pace of Aging method, implemented in parallel in data from the US Health and Retirement Study and in the English Longitudinal Study of Aging (combined n = 19,045), integrates longitudinal data on blood biomarkers, physical measurements and functional tests. It reveals stark differences in rates of aging between population subgroups and demonstrates strong and consistent prospective associations with incident morbidity, disability and mortality. This adapted and generalizable method to measure Pace of Aging can advance the population science of healthy longevity.

Indexed as

AgingLongevityAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedUnited KingdomUnited StatesBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID40419803
PMCPMC12176510

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.