Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40448712›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of nutrition2025

Prevention of chronic disease using vitamins-a case study of the vitamin D and cardiovascular disease hypothesis using evidence from randomised controlled and prospective cohort studies.

Mairead Kiely, Lorraine Brennan, Travis Dunlop, Gerard Tate, Jayne V Woodside, Diego Moretti, Working Group 1 of the Federation of European Nutrition Societies (FENS) Presidential Activity

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of nutrition, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. To distinguish solarium use with and without risk behavior on melanoma incidence and all-cause mortality: a report from the large MISS cohort.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Integrating Senescence and Oxidative Stress in Cardiac Disease.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mairead KielyCork Centre for Vitamin D and Nutrition Research, School of Food and Nutritional Sciences, University College Cork, Cork, T12 WE28, Ireland. m.kiely@ucc.ie.
Lorraine BrennanSchool of Agriculture and Food Science, UCD Institute of Food and Health, UCD Conway Institute, University College Dublin, Dublin, D04 V1 W8, Ireland.
Travis DunlopSchool of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, BT9 5DL, UK.
Gerard TateSchool of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, BT9 5DL, UK.
Jayne V WoodsideSchool of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, BT9 5DL, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5691-4659
Diego MorettiDepartment of Health, Swiss Distance University of Applied Sciences (FFHS), University of Applied Sciences of South Switzerland (SUPSI), 8005, Zurich, Switzerland.
Working Group 1 of the Federation of European Nutrition Societies (FENS) Presidential Activity

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe hypothesis that vitamin supplementation may prevent cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been supported by compelling mechanistic and observational data. However, most large-scale randomized controlled trials (RCT) of vitamins and CVD are null, leading to the conclusion that vitamins have no role in CVD prevention. Our objective was to examine challenges inherent in single nutrient trials using vitamin D and CVD as a case study.

methodsWe conducted a systematic scoping review of the literature published since 2011 on vitamin D and CVD, including RCTs, prospective cohort studies (PCS) and systematic reviews from Medline, Web of Science and Cochrane. Studies were conducted in adults and included CVD outcomes with a minimum sample of 500 for RCTs and 10,000 for PCS. We applied Bradford Hill criteria for the establishment of causality in biological systems.

resultsThe search yielded 4170 papers, of which 40 were eligible, including 6 RCTs and 7 PCS. The Bradford Hill analysis of a causal relationship between vitamin D and CVD was mixed, with strong mechanistic support and reasonable strength and consistency in observational data but weak evidence of temporality. There was sufficient justification for trialling a benefit for CVD prevention but RCTs were inconsistent with the mechanistic and observational studies and reported mostly null results. Contextual factors were key, including baseline vitamin D status among participants, background supplementation and underlying participant disease profiles.

conclusionThis example illustrates the complexity of conducting nutrient trials and raises questions about RCTs of single nutrients for complex chronic diseases. The core challenge common to all nutrient trials is the absence of a zero-intake placebo group and variable background exposures. Alternative approaches and interpretation paradigms are required.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDietary SupplementsVitamin DVitaminsAdultChronic DiseaseHumansProspective StudiesRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicSystematic Reviews as TopicVitamin DVitaminsBradford hillCardiovascular diseaseNutrition scienceRandomised controlled trialsVitamin DVitamins

Identifiers

PMID40448712
PMCPMC12126319

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.