Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40468914›Full record

Observational studyJournal of cachexia, sarcopenia and muscle2025

Quantification of Skeletal Muscle at the First Lumbar Level for Prognosis in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis.

Yujia Cao, Baoyu Yuan, Xiuyu Jiang, Chunming Xie, Di Wu, Zhijun Zhang

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of cachexia, sarcopenia and muscle, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yujia CaoDepartment of Neurology, Affiliated Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Institution of Neuropsychiatry, Key Laboratory of Developmental Genes and Human Disease, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0837-9214
Baoyu YuanDepartment of Neurology, Affiliated Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Institution of Neuropsychiatry, Key Laboratory of Developmental Genes and Human Disease, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Xiuyu JiangJiangsu Key Laboratory of Molecular and Functional Imaging, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Chunming XieDepartment of Neurology, Affiliated Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Institution of Neuropsychiatry, Key Laboratory of Developmental Genes and Human Disease, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Di WuDepartment of Neurology, Affiliated Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Institution of Neuropsychiatry, Key Laboratory of Developmental Genes and Human Disease, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0000-0003-3014-9087
Zhijun ZhangDepartment of Neurology, Affiliated Zhongda Hospital, School of Medicine, Institution of Neuropsychiatry, Key Laboratory of Developmental Genes and Human Disease, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5480-0888

Funding

National Natural Science Key Foundation of China 81830040
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSkeletal muscle parameters at the first lumbar vertebra (L1) level on computed tomography (CT) are common indicators for muscle mass. However, their relationship with the severity and prognosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) patients remains unclear.

methodsThis cohort study included ALS patients who underwent chest CT scans between January 2018 and January 2022 and healthy controls (HCs) matched for gender and age. Overall survival (OS) was determined from the date of chest CT to death, tracheal intubation or 1 January 2024. Using ImageJ software, skeletal muscle area and density (L1 SMA/SMD), skeletal muscle index (L1 SMI), paraspinal muscle area and density (L1 PMA/PMD) and subcutaneous fat area and density (L1 SFA/SFD) at L1 were quantified. The relationships between the quantified muscle parameters and both King's clinical stages and the Revised ALS Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) were analysed. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the hazard ratio (HR) of skeletal muscle parameters as risk factors for outcome events, and to construct a nomogram.

resultsMuscle parameters in ALS patients (n = 102; 36.27% female; mean age, 60.85 ± 10.58 years) were significantly lower compared with HCs (p < 0.001). L1 SMD (p = 0.047) and L1 PMD (p = 0.003) both differed significantly across the King's clinical stages. ALSFRS-R scores correlated with L1 SMA (r = 0.35, p < 0.001), L1 SMI (r = 0.34, p < 0.001), L1 PMA (r = 0.27, p = 0.007) and L1 PMD (r = 0.27, p = 0.007). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that L1 SMA (HR = 0.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.94-0.98, p = 0.001), L1 SMD (HR = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.88-0.96, p < 0.001) and L1 PMA (HR = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.01-1.11, p = 0.022) significantly influenced ALS survival, with area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.687 and 0.851 for 1- and 3-year OS prediction. The consistency index (C-index) for the nomogram was 0.72 (95% CI = 0.641-0.793).

conclusionsSkeletal muscle parameters at L1 level on CT are significantly associated with clinical severity and prognosis in ALS.

trial registrationChinese Clinical Trial Registration Center: ChiCTR230078702.

Indexed as

Amyotrophic Lateral SclerosisLumbar VertebraeMuscle, SkeletalAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisTomography, X-Ray Computedamyotrophic lateral sclerosisfirst lumbar levelnomogramprognosisskeletal muscle

Identifiers

PMID40468914
PMCPMC12138266

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.