Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40484951›Full record

ArticleItalian journal of pediatrics2025

Interpretable web-based machine learning model for predicting intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease.

Ying He, Fan Lin, Xin Zheng, Qiaobin Chen, Meng Xiao, Xiaoting Lin, Hongbiao Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Italian journal of pediatrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ying He *Department of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China.
Fan Lin *Department of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China.
Xin ZhengDepartment of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China.
Qiaobin ChenDepartment of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China.
Meng XiaoDepartment of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China.
Xiaoting LinDepartment of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China.
Hongbiao HuangDepartment of Pediatric, Fujian Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital, Fuzhou, Fujian, 350001, China. 403032197@qq.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5420-3415

Funding

Joint Funds for the innovation of science and Technology, Fujian province 2024Y9016Youth and Middle-aged Scientific and Technological Innovation Leading Talents Program of the Corps 2024GGA010
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundKawasaki disease (KD) is a leading cause of acquired heart disease in children that is treated with intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG). However, 10-20% of cases exhibit IVIG resistance, which increases the risk of coronary complications. Existing predictive models do not integrate multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms or facilitate real-time clinical use. This study presents a region-specific, interpretable ML model for early IVIG resistance prediction in KD.

methodsA retrospective cohort of 463 children diagnosed with KD at Fuzhou University Affiliated Provincial Hospital (2012-2024) was analyzed. Thirteen ML algorithms were evaluated via cross-validation, with performance assessed by AUC and other metrics. Feature importance was determined using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), and risk of bias was evaluated using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool.

resultsThe random forest (RF) model demonstrated the highest predictive performance (AUC = 0.78). After feature selection based on SHAP values, a final interpretable RF model incorporating 10 key features was developed, and a web-based tool integrating the Youden index (16.9%) was deployed for real-time risk estimation.

conclusionThis region-specific, interpretable ML model ( https://milailai.shinyapps.io/data1/ ) is a practical tool for early risk stratification and personalized treatment of IVIG resistance in KD.

Indexed as

Drug ResistanceImmunoglobulins, IntravenousInternetMachine LearningMucocutaneous Lymph Node SyndromeChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantMalePredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentImmunoglobulins, IntravenousImmunoglobulinsInternet-based interventionIntravenousKawasaki diseaseMachine learningPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID40484951
PMCPMC12147252

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.