Evidence mapPaperPMID 40489873Full record

ArticleMedicine2025

Causal effects of childhood obesity on venous thromboembolism in adulthood: A bidirectional Mendelian randomization study.

Jintuo Zhou, Meiling Wu, Yongjin Xie, Yanting Zhu, Ying Liu, Peiguang Niu, Huajiao Chen, Xiaoping Zeng, Jinhua Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Mapping the Four Adiposity Axes-Inflammatory Cytokine-Venous Thromboembolism Risk Landscape: A Two-Step Mediation Mendelian Randomization Analysis.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jintuo ZhouDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Meiling WuDepartment of Pharmacy, Affiliated People's Hospital of Fujian University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Fuzhou, China.
Yongjin XieDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital, College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.
Yanting ZhuDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Ying LiuDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Peiguang NiuDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Huajiao ChenDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Xiaoping ZengDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.
Jinhua ZhangDepartment of Pharmacy, Fujian Maternity and Child Health Hospital College of Clinical Medicine for Obstetrics and Gynecology and Pediatrics, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-5629-0348

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Obesity is a recognized risk factor for VTE in both children and adults. However, the causal relationship between childhood obesity and the risk of VTE in adulthood remains unclear. This study conducted a bidirectional 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genome-wide association study data to explore this association. The inverse-variance weighting (IVW) method, along with weighted median and MR-Egger approaches, was employed to assess causality, while linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) evaluated genetic correlations. Sensitivity analyses, including Cochran Q statistics, the MR-Egger intercept test, MR-PRESSO, and leave-one-out analysis, ensured the robustness of the findings. In the forward MR analysis, the IVW analysis identified a significant causal association between childhood body mass index (BMI) and UBK_VTE (OR: 1.005, 95% CI: 1.000-1.008, P = .002), FinnGen_VTE (OR: 1.303, 95% CI: 1.175-1.446, P < .001), FinnGen_pulmonary embolism (PE) (OR: 1.265, 95% CI: 1.079-1.484, P = .004) and FinnGen_deep vein thrombosis (DVT) (OR: 1.345, 95% CI: 1.145-1.58, P < .001). The results remained consistent across different MR methods, with no evidence of pleiotropy or heterogeneity. Reverse MR analysis showed that VTE, including PE and DVT, had no causal effect on childhood obesity. LDSC analysis further confirmed significant genetic correlations between childhood BMI and VTE outcomes (FinnGen_VTE [rg = 0.28, P = 2.21 × 10-7], FinnGen_PE [rg = 0.24, P = 8.62 × 10-5], and FinnGen_DVT [rg = 0.27, P = 1.79 × 10-5]). In conclusion, these findings provide genetic evidence that childhood obesity increases the risk of developing VTE in adulthood, emphasizing the need for early prevention and weight management strategies. Further studies are required to explore underlying biological mechanisms and assess the impact of obesity interventions on VTE risk reduction.

Indexed as

Pediatric ObesityVenous ThromboembolismAdultBody Mass IndexCausalityChildFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisRisk Factorschildhood obesitydeep vein thrombosisMendelian randomization analysispulmonary embolismvenous thromboembolism

Identifiers

PMID40489873
PMCPMC12150934

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.