Evidence mapPaperPMID 40530706Full record

ArticleBiomolecules & biomedicine2025

Global, regional, and national trends in thyroid cancer burden (1990-2021): Insights from the GBD 2021 study.

Ming Tang, Jiarui Li, Mingxiu Sun, Xin Song, Kaize Zheng, Xiaoting Luo, Zhirui Xue, Likun Du

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biomolecules & biomedicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ming TangHeilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Jiarui LiHeilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China; First Affiliated Hospital, Heilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Mingxiu SunHeilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Xin SongHeilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Kaize ZhengLiaoning University of Traditional Chinese Medicine Xinglin College, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Xiaoting LuoHeilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Zhirui XueHeilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.
Likun DuFirst Affiliated Hospital, Heilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, Heilongjiang, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The global incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has been steadily increasing and is now recognized as one of the most prevalent endocrine malignancies. This study provides a comprehensive evaluation of the prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with TC from 1990 to 2021. Data for this study were sourced from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD). To quantify temporal patterns and assess trends in age-standardized TC metrics-namely, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR), and DALYs-estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were calculated. The analysis was stratified by sex, 20 age groups, 21 GBD regions, 204 countries/territories, and five Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintiles. Statistical analyses and plotting were conducted using R statistical software version 4.4.2 and Joinpoint software. The study found that the global burden of thyroid cancer remains substantial, with a significant increase in the total number of cases. In 2021, regions with high SDI reported the highest ASPR, showing an upward trend compared to 1990; however, this trend began to decline significantly after 2009. Conversely, regions with low and low-middle SDI exhibited noticeable increases in ASPR, ASIR, ASDR, and DALYs. The highest prevalence and incidence were observed in the 55-59 age group, followed by a gradual decline. The majority of affected individuals were women. A high body mass index (BMI) was identified as the primary risk factor for TC, and both prevalence and incidence are expected to continue rising through 2040.

Indexed as

Thyroid NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedChildDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRisk FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40530706
PMCPMC12461265

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.