Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40553381›Full record

ArticleJournal of cardiovascular translational research2025

Development of a Nomogram Model to Predict the Risk of Postoperative Delirium in Cardiac Surgery Patients.

Zikomo Gaudence Kipanga, Zexiang Bao, Marvel Gyeyock Tella, Emmanuel Delali Kofi Fiagbey, Salama Habibu Saad, Bongani Mbambara, Chernor Sulaiman Bah, Asha Khatib Iddi, Rui Ding, Yanna Si and 2 more

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of cardiovascular translational research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Zikomo Gaudence Kipanga *School of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Zexiang Bao *School of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Marvel Gyeyock Tella *School of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Emmanuel Delali Kofi FiagbeySchool of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Salama Habibu SaadSchool of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Bongani MbambaraSchool of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Chernor Sulaiman BahSchool of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Asha Khatib IddiSchool of Basic Medicine and Clinical Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Rui DingDepartment of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Yanna SiDepartment of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China. siyanna@163.com.ORCID 0000-0002-5752-3422
Yuan Zhang *Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China. tracy_kelvin@njmu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-1914-8254
Jianjun Zou *Department of Pharmacy, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China. zoujianjun100@126.com.ORCID 0000-0003-0886-3153

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81873954National Natural Science Foundation of China 82173899
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common and severe complication following cardiac surgery, with an incidence of about 65% in older patients. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for POD in patients aged ≥ 18 years, to enhance early detection and intervention. A retrospective analysis was performed on the data collected from 825 patients who underwent cardiac surgery at Nanjing First Hospital (May 2021-July 2022). POD was diagnosed using the Confusion Assessment Method for the ICU (CAM-ICU). We used LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression to identify key predictors for the nomogram. The incidence of POD was 23.6%, with significant predictors including head CT findings, hyperlactatemia before extubation, APACHE II score, ASA score, and length of hospital stay. The model demonstrated strong predictive ability (AUC: 0.922 training, 0.896 validation). A web-based calculator ( https://baozexiang.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/ ) was developed to enhance clinical risk assessment and patient outcomes.

Indexed as

Cardiac Surgical ProceduresDecision Support TechniquesDeliriumNomogramsAgedAged, 80 and overChinaFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentCardiac SurgeryNeurocognitive outcomeNomogram modelPostoperative DeliriumRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40553381

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.