Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40554540›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2025

Assessment of the prognostic value of CA125 for miscarriage risk in patients with threatened abortion: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Yurong Cao, Weiwei Li, Linna Ma

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Yurong CaoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3182-9095
Weiwei LiDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Linna MaDepartment of Reproductive Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical College, Hainan, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThreatened abortion is a common obstetric complication where early risk stratification is crucial for clinical management. CA125, a glycoprotein biomarker produced by endometrial and trophoblastic tissues, may serve as a valuable prognostic indicator as its elevated levels often reflect placental inflammation or detachment in this condition. To systematically assess its clinical value, we conducted a meta-analysis evaluating the prognostic accuracy of serum CA125 levels for miscarriage risk in patients with threatened abortion.

methodsWe systematically searched Web of Science, Medline via PubMed, ScienceDirect, EMBASE, Geenmedical, Cochrane Library, and Wiley databases from inception to May 30, 2024 for studies evaluating either CA125's prognostic value for miscarriage risk in threatened abortion, or serum markers' prognostic value for pregnancy outcomes. Two researchers independently screened literature and extracted data. Study quality and evidence certainty were assessed using QUAPAS and GRADE frameworks respectively. Meta-analyses were performed using Stata 17 and Review Manager 5.3.

resultsA total of 13 studies involving 1166 patients with threatened abortion were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled estimates demonstrated that CA125 exhibited the following prognostic performance for predicting miscarriage risk in patients with threatened abortion: sensitivity, 89% (95% CI: 83-93%); specificity, 91% (95% CI: 84-95%); positive likelihood ratio (PLR), 10.2 (95% CI: 5.4-19.3); negative likelihood ratio (NLR), 0.13 (95% CI: 0.08-0.19); diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), 82 (95% CI: 31-212); and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC AUC), 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92-0.96). Elevated serum CA125 levels were significantly associated with an increased risk of miscarriage. According to the GRADE assessment, the certainty of evidence was moderate for sensitivity but low for other parameters, primarily due to heterogeneity, risk of bias, and other confounding factors.

conclusionCurrent evidence with moderate certainty indicates that serum CA125 demonstrates high prognostic value for assessing miscarriage risk in threatened abortion, particularly for identifying high-risk patients. However, due to low-certainty specificity findings, caution is warranted when using CA125 to rule out miscarriage. While these results support CA125's potential as a complementary tool to ultrasound, further studies are required to establish standardized cut-off values for clinical implementation.

Indexed as

Abortion, SpontaneousAbortion, ThreatenedCA-125 AntigenBiomarkersFemaleHumansMembrane ProteinsPregnancyPrognosisBiomarkersCA-125 AntigenMembrane ProteinsMUC16 protein, human

Identifiers

PMID40554540
PMCPMC12186903

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.