Evidence mapPaperPMID 40580411Full record

ArticleClinical drug investigation2025

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Rivaroxaban Compared to Warfarin for the Management of Venous Thromboembolism in Western Kenya.

Emily T O'Neill, Andrew W Huang, Marta Wilson-Barthes, Imran Manji, Gabriel Kigen, Naftali Busakhala, Samuel Nyanje, Omar Galárraga, Sonak D Pastakia

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical drug investigation, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Emily T O'NeillDepartment of Health Services Policy and Practice, Brown University School of Public Health, 121 S. Main Street, Providence, RI, 02903, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8071-7997
Andrew W HuangDepartment of Health Services Policy and Practice, Brown University School of Public Health, 121 S. Main Street, Providence, RI, 02903, USA.
Marta Wilson-BarthesCenter for Global Public Health, Brown University School of Public Health, 121 S. Main Street, Providence, RI, 02903, USA.
Imran ManjiDirectorate of Pharmacy and Nutrition, Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital, Eldoret, Kenya.
Gabriel KigenDepartment of Pharmacology and Toxicology, Moi University School of Medicine, Eldoret, Kenya.
Naftali BusakhalaDepartment of Pharmacology and Toxicology, Moi University School of Medicine, Eldoret, Kenya.
Samuel NyanjeAcademic Model Providing Access to Healthcare (AMPATH), PO Box 4606-30100, Eldoret, Kenya.
Omar GalárragaDepartment of Health Services Policy and Practice, Brown University School of Public Health, 121 S. Main Street, Providence, RI, 02903, USA.
Sonak D PastakiaDepartment of Pharmacy Practice, Purdue University College of Pharmacy, 640 Eskenazi Ave., Indianapolis, IN, 46202, USA. spastaki@purdue.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveAccess to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in sub-Saharan Africa is limited due to prohibitive upfront costs, making warfarin the standard of care for many patients, especially those relying on public-sector healthcare. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of using the DOAC, rivaroxaban, compared to warfarin for treating venous thromboembolism (VTE), a cardiovascular disorder caused by blood clots in the veins, in western Kenya.

methodsWe developed a discrete-time individual state-transition Markov model to simulate a VTE patient's quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and annual treatment costs under a rivaroxaban or warfarin therapy strategy. Transition state probabilities were derived from real-world event-rate data observed in patients treated with rivaroxaban (n = 160) or warfarin (n = 116) for VTE at Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital in western Kenya. Base-case parameter values were obtained from cohort event rates, local costs, and literature-derived utility values. Cost-effectiveness was assessed over a 1-year time horizon using an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) threshold of (US)$6020.40 per QALY gained (equivalent to three times Kenya's 2021 per capita GDP). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess parameter and model uncertainty.

resultsAfter 12 months, total mean treatment costs per patient were $216.00 and $173.00 using warfarin and rivaroxaban, respectively. In the base-case analysis, rivaroxaban therapy resulted in an additional 0.023 QALYs per patient compared to warfarin, with an ICER of $- 1862.00 per QALY gained. Based on probabilistic sensitivity analysis with Monte Carlo simulation, when costs, utility values, and event rates were varied, rivaroxaban was cost-effective compared to warfarin in 84.1% of all simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $6020.40 per QALY. One-way sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses were stable with rivaroxaban therapy, resulting in fewer costs and higher QALYs.

conclusionsIn this study, rivaroxaban is a clinically and economically superior alternative to warfarin. This research may catalyze further discussions with policymakers and industry partners to scale up the appropriate use of rivaroxaban in resource-constrained settings.

Indexed as

AnticoagulantsFactor Xa InhibitorsRivaroxabanVenous ThromboembolismWarfarinCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisFemaleHumansKenyaMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAnticoagulantsFactor Xa InhibitorsRivaroxabanWarfarin

Identifiers

PMID40580411
PMCPMC12307563

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.