Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40648789›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2025

Quo Vadis Temporomandibular Disorders? By 2050, the Global Prevalence of TMD May Approach 44.

Grzegorz Zieliński

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Grzegorz ZielińskiDepartment of Sports Medicine, Medical University of Lublin, 20-093 Lublin, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-2849-0641

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesCurrently, temporomandibular disorders (TMDs) represent a significant public health concern, affecting approximately 34% of the global population. The primary aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of TMDs in the year 2050. A secondary objective was to estimate the prevalence for the years 2030, 2075, and 2100.

methodsThe methodology of a prognostic study was replicated and adapted to develop prevalence projections for TMDs, utilising the most recent meta-analysis of the global prevalence of temporomandibular disorders and analyses conducted within the R environment.

resultsProjections indicate a gradual increase in the global prevalence of TMDs over the coming decades. In 2030, the estimated prevalence is 39% (95% confidence interval: 34-44%). This figure is expected to rise to 41% [36-46%] by 2040 and reach 44% [39-49%] by 2050. The upward trend continues, with projections suggesting a prevalence of 47% [42-52%] in 2075 and 49% [44-54%] by 2100. These data highlight a steadily increasing global burden of TMDs.

conclusionsBy the year 2050, the global prevalence of TMDs is projected to reach 44%, which, according to estimates, corresponds to approximately 4,252,160,000 individuals. By 2030, 39% of the population is projected to experience TMDs. By 2075, the global TMD prevalence is expected to rise to 47%, and, by 2100, it could increase further to 49% of the global population. Urbanisation affects TMD prevalence in a region-dependent manner; a significant decrease was observed in Asia, while, in the Americas and Europe, the association was negligible. Globally, the lack of a clear impact of urbanisation on TMD occurrence suggests the influence of environmental and cultural factors.

Indexed as

205020752100epidemiologymeta-analysispredictionprevalencetemporomandibular disordersTMDstrends

Identifiers

PMID40648789
PMCPMC12249499

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.