Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40693521›Full record

ArticleMovement disorders clinical practice2026

Basal Forebrain Volume Predicts Disease Conversion in Prodromal Synucleinopathy.

Lachlan Churchill, Ajay Konuri, Anna Ignatavicius, Jack Anderson, Simon J G Lewis, Elie Matar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Movement disorders clinical practice, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Lachlan ChurchillFaculty of Medicine and Health, Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-7150-4142
Ajay KonuriFaculty of Medicine and Health, Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Anna IgnataviciusFaculty of Medicine and Health, Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6558-1567
Jack AndersonFaculty of Medicine and Health, Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0006-4967-7372
Simon J G LewisFaculty of Medicine, Health and Human Sciences, Macquarie Medical School and Macquarie University Centre for Parkinson's Disease Research, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Elie MatarFaculty of Medicine and Health, Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4994-0488

Funding

Congressionally Directed Medical Research Programs PD220061National Health and Medical Research Council 1195830National Health and Medical Research Council 2008565
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIsolated rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) is a prodromal stage of Parkinson's disease (PD) and dementia with Lewy bodies (DLB). The basal forebrain (BF), a key cholinergic structure, is a site of known pathology in later stages of Lewy body disorders. Although bilateral BF atrophy has been linked to cognitive decline in iRBD, its potential role in predicting phenoconversion to PD and DLB remains unclear.

objectivesThe aims were to examine BF gray matter volume differences between iRBD patients and healthy controls, and evaluate their utility as predictors of phenoconversion to PD or DLB. Exploratory post hoc analyses were also conducted to explore the lateral-specific effects of BF atrophy in relation to disease conversion.

methodsWe assessed 41 participants with polysomnography-confirmed iRBD and 38 healthy controls using baseline T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and longitudinal clinical assessments. Gray matter volumes of the left and right BF were compared between groups. Cox proportional hazards models examined baseline BF volumes as predictors of phenoconversion risk to PD and DLB.

resultsAlthough no significant group differences in BF volume were found, lower BF volume was associated with poorer global cognition in iRBD. Bilateral BF atrophy predicted increased risk of phenoconversion to either PD or DLB. An exploratory post hoc analysis revealed that left BF atrophy specifically predicted conversion to DLB, whereas right BF volume did not.

conclusionBilateral BF atrophy may represent an early biomarker of phenoconversion in iRBD, with left-sided atrophy potentially indicating increased risk for DLB. These findings highlight the prognostic value of BF degeneration in prodromal synucleinopathies.

Indexed as

Basal ForebrainLewy Body DiseaseParkinson DiseaseProdromal SymptomsREM Sleep Behavior DisorderSynucleinopathiesAgedAtrophyDisease ProgressionFemaleGray MatterHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedPolysomnographyParkinson's diseaseprodromalrapid eye movement sleep (REM) sleepstructural magnetic resonance imaging

Identifiers

PMID40693521
PMCPMC12839508

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.