Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40693572›Full record

ArticleInternal medicine journal2025

Is semaglutide cost-effective at closing the gap for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians with cardiovascular disease and obesity without type 2 diabetes?

Satyen Hargovan, Nadine Hunt, Hara Kostakis, Clara K Chow

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Internal medicine journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Satyen HargovanDepartment of Cardiology, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5194-5317
Nadine HuntNational Centre for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Wellbeing Research and National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, College of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.
Hara KostakisDepartment of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, University of London, London, UK.
Clara K ChowWestmead Applied Research Centre, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians experience worse healthcare outcomes due to increased prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). A large proportion of this is preventable if CVD risk factors, such as obesity, are effectively treated. In the SELECT (Semaglutide Effects on Cardiovascular Outcomes in People With Overweight or Obesity) trial, the use of semaglutide for patients with CVD and obesity without type 2 diabetes (T2D) significantly reduced the prevalence of CVD.

aimTo determine the cost-benefit to the Australian healthcare system of funding early-access semaglutide for treating Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians with CVD and obesity without T2D.

methodsA Markov cohort state-transition model was annually cycled for 25 years. The population was Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians with CVD and obesity without T2D. They received either semaglutide or standard care. Transition probabilities, utilities, costs and discounting were literature-derived. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was our primary outcome. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and fatal and non-fatal CVD events prevented were secondary outcomes. Sensitivity analysis for various scenarios was performed.

resultsIn the estimated 13 650 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians with CVD and obesity without T2D, semaglutide was modelled to prevent an additional 929 fatal CVD events, 13 480 non-fatal CVD events and 8628 DALYs over 25 years at an additional cost to the Australian government of $25 956 522/year (<0.2% of annual CVD expenditure). The ICER was $75 206/DALYs.

conclusionA strategy of early-access funding and use of semaglutide for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians with CVD and obesity without T2D may be cost-effective to the Australian healthcare system while closing the gap in healthcare disparities.

Indexed as

Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander PeoplesCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Like Peptide 1ObesityAustraliaCohort StudiesCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedSemaglutideGlucagon-Like Peptide 1SemaglutideAboriginal and Torres Strait Islandercardiovascular diseaseeconomic analysisobesitypreventionsemaglutide

Identifiers

PMID40693572
PMCPMC12515466

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.