Evidence mapPaperPMID 40713592Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgical oncology2025

Global, regional, and national burden and trends of prostate cancer in elderly from 1990 to 2021: results from global burden of disease 2021.

Yinghong Li, Mingjie Tang, Jun Shao, Shiwei Li, Yuhao Teng, Yuanyuan Xu, Peng Shu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of surgical oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yinghong Li *Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Mingjie Tang *Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Jun ShaoNanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Shiwei LiCentral South University, Changsha, China.
Yuhao TengAffiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Yuanyuan XuAffiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
Peng ShuAffiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China. shupengnjucm@163.com.

Funding

Jiangsu Traditional Chinese Medicine Leading Talents Training Object Project SLJ0327Key Project of Jiangsu Traditional Chinese Medicine Science and Technology Development Plan ZD202214National Natural Science Foundation of China 82374539
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEmerging evidence has demonstrated marked geographical and demographic variations in prostate cancer (PC) incidence and mortality rates. As PC predominantly affects the elderly, in-depth analysis of disease trends in this vulnerable population is imperative.

methodsThis study leveraged data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 to systematically evaluate temporal trends in the incidence, mortality, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) of PC in elderly aged 70 and above. The analyses were stratified by age group, geographic region, and Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintiles. Furthermore, this study employed a comprehensive analytical approach, including estimated annual percentage change (EAPC), decomposition analysis, and predictive modeling (Nordpred method).

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the burden of PC in elderly exhibited a substantial rise, with incident cases, mortality cases, and DALYs all demonstrating significant increases. In 2021, the global age-standardized rates for incidence (ASIR), mortality (ASMR), and DALYs (ASDALYR) were 348.8 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 310.75 to 375.79), 177.93 (95% UI: 152.84 to 194.06) and 2513.84 (95% UI: 2170.81 to 2749.77) per 100,100, respectively. Geographically, the highest persistent burden was observed in High Income North America, Australasia, and high SDI region. Most regions were positively correlated with the SDI. The highest incidences of PC in elderly were in the 95 + age group. Decomposition analysis showed that the increase in burden indicators of PC in elderly globally and in the five SDI regions was mainly caused by population growth. Nordpred analysis predicts slight decline in ASIR, ASMR, and ASDALYR by 2046.

conclusionOur analysis unveils a considerable and relentlessly escalating global PC burden among the elderly, with striking geographical heterogeneity. These data underscore the pressing need for tailored public health strategies to mitigate the burgeoning impact of PC in the worldwide aging populace.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseProstatic NeoplasmsAgedAged, 80 and overDisability-Adjusted Life YearsGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMortalityQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSurvival RateEAPCElderlyGBD 2021Global burden of diseaseProstate cancer

Identifiers

PMID40713592
PMCPMC12297840

What Socratic holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.