Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40728234›Full record

ArticleCancer research communications2025

Methylation-Based ctDNA Tumor Fraction Changes Predict Long-Term Clinical Benefit From Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors in RADIOHEAD, a Real-World Pan-Cancer Study.

Samantha I Liang, Zoe Quandt, Sara Wienke, Jing Wang, Sean Gordon, Reagan M Barnett, Jude Masannat, Kyle Chang, Carin R Espenschied, Katie J Quinn and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer research communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Towards liquid biopsy-based analysis of antitumour immunity.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Camonsertib, an ATRi, in Combination with Low-Dose Gemcitabine in Solid Tumors with DNA Damage Response Aberrations: Preclinical and Phase Ib Results.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Samantha I LiangParker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy, San Francisco, California.ORCID 0009-0004-9647-3546
Zoe QuandtDivision of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Medicine, UCSF, San Francisco, California.ORCID 0000-0002-4568-4368
Sara WienkeGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0009-0005-7630-2210
Jing WangGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0009-0003-0661-5954
Sean GordonGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0000-0003-3431-5804
Reagan M BarnettGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0009-0002-7345-9667
Jude MasannatGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0000-0002-5468-8213
Kyle ChangGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0000-0001-5295-9676
Carin R EspenschiedGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0000-0001-6108-7785
Katie J QuinnGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0009-0006-6905-2257
Kimberly C BanksGuardant Health, Palo Alto, California.ORCID 0000-0002-1290-3114
Enjun YangParker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy, San Francisco, California.ORCID 0000-0003-1511-7511
John E ConnollyParker Institute for Cancer Immunotherapy, San Francisco, California.ORCID 0009-0008-3998-7646

Funding

Diabetes-Docs: Physician-Scientist Career Development Program (DiabDocs)K12DK133995 · NIDDK · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI LINDA A DIMEGLIO, David Matthew Maahs · 2022 to 2026
$16.0M
NIDDK NIH HHS K12 DK133995
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Current response evaluation methods have accuracy limitations. Monitoring with a ctDNA methylation-based tumor fraction (TF) may provide a more accurate assessment of tumor burden across solid tumors. In this study, we evaluate a tissue-free, methylation-based TF and explore the association with treatment outcomes in RADIOHEAD, a cohort of 1,070 patients with solid tumors receiving standard-of-care immune checkpoint inhibition (ICI) regimens, with blood samples collected prospectively for retrospective analysis. A total of 1,997 baseline and serial on-treatment plasma samples from 627 patients with stage IV cancer were analyzed with an analytically validated next-generation sequencing methylation-based ctDNA assay (Guardant Reveal). The primary outcome measure was real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS). Secondary outcomes included real-world overall survival (rwOS) and the lead time between nonmolecular response (nMR) to rwPFS event. Patients with any decrease in TF while receiving ICI had superior outcomes. Patients with ≥80% decrease in TF at two timepoints or TF below the limit of quantification had longer rwPFS and rwOS than those with <80% decrease [nMR; rwPFS HR, 0.24 (95% confidence interval, 0.19-0.32) P < 0.005; rwOS HR, 0.28 (95% confidence interval, 0.21-0.38) P < 0.005]. nMR was detected prior to clinical progression in 209 patients with a median lead time of 3.03 months. Among 627 patients with stage IV cancer receiving standard-of-care ICI, monitoring with methylation-based TF identified patients who have significantly longer rwPFS and rwOS. Changes in TF on ICI can provide additional response data earlier than imaging alone and support the potential of serial monitoring to inform treatment decisions. SIGNIFICANCE: This study found that early decreases in tumor DNA levels in the blood are linked to longer survival in patients with cancer treated with immunotherapy. These findings support the use of blood-based monitoring to help predict treatment response and improve decision-making in real-world cancer care.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA MethylationImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsNeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHigh-Throughput Nucleotide SequencingHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProgression-Free SurvivalRetrospective StudiesBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNAImmune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID40728234
PMCPMC12365632

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.