ArticleBMC ecology and evolution2025
Predicting the potential habitats of two Lycium species and the quality suitability of Lycium chinense Mill. Cortex under climate change.
Article in BMC ecology and evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Evaluation ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Phylogenetics, Niche Evolution, and Distribution Dynamics ofEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Integrating environmental variables and land use types to assess the habitat suitability and atractylodin content of twoFrontiers in plant science · 2026Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Lycii Cortex is a frequently utilized traditional Chinese medicine with notable therapeutic properties. The impact of climate change on its distribution and quality of Lycii Cortex is a significant concern. In this study, it investigated the geographic distribution of two sources of plants for Lycii Cortex and collected data on the distribution of samples from different origins via an online survey. HPLC was employed to ascertain the concentrations of kukoamine B and kukoamine A in the samples. Subsequently, the integrated ecological factor data were employed to forecast the prospective expansion areas of Lycium chinense Mill. and Lycium barbarum L. under future climatic conditions, the migration trajectory of suitable habitat centers of mass, and the potential impact of climatic factors on the quality of Lycii Cortex at varying times using Maxent and ArcGIS. The current climate scenario indicates that suitable habitats for L. barbarum are primarily distributed in the northern, northwestern, and southwestern regions of China, while L. chinense is predominantly distributed in the central, southern, and southeastern regions of China. In the RCP4.5 from 2050s to 2070s, the total area deemed suitable for both two Lycii Cortex species is significantly reduced. The mean distribution center of L. barbarum shifted towards higher latitudes, while that of L. chinense shifted towards lower latitudes. It was predicted that in the future, the area of suitable quality of Lycii Cortex would appear to decrease. The results of this study can provide a reference for the determination of the suitable cultivation area of Lycii Cortex in China and the sustainable development of two Lycium species resources.
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Registered trials
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