Evidence mapPaperPMID 40746702Full record

ArticleNEJM AI2025

AI Opportunistic Coronary Calcium Screening at Veterans Affairs Hospitals.

Raffi Hagopian, Timothy Strebel, Simon Bernatz, Gregory A Myers, Erik Offerman, Eric Zuniga, Cy Y Kim, Angie T Ng, James A Iwaz, Leonard Nürnberg and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NEJM AI, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Clinical Metadata-Guided Limited-Angle CT Image Reconstruction.IEEE transactions on medical imaging · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Vision Foundry: A System for Training Foundational Vision AI Models.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2026
    Article
  7. A Framework for Cross-Domain Generalization in Coronary Artery Calcium Scoring Across Gated and Non-Gated Computed Tomography.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Raffi HagopianDivision of Cardiology, Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0009-0004-6118-4832
Timothy StrebelOffice of Research and Development, Veterans Health Administration, Washington, DC.ORCID 0009-0003-3962-5366
Simon BernatzArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-7758-8100
Gregory A MyersOffice of Research and Development, Veterans Health Administration, Washington, DC.ORCID 0009-0008-8904-3467
Erik OffermanDivision of Cardiology, University of California, Irvine.ORCID 0000-0002-8196-8675
Eric ZunigaDivision of Cardiology, University of California, Irvine.ORCID 0009-0004-5482-343X
Cy Y KimDivision of Cardiology, Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-5514-1244
Angie T NgDivision of Cardiology, Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0009-0002-0573-3644
James A IwazDivision of Cardiology, Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0009-0008-1073-8777
Leonard NürnbergArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0001-6544-4268
Sunny P SinghApplied Innovations and Medical Informatics (AIMI), Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0009-0006-7853-8443
Evan P CareyApplied Innovations and Medical Informatics (AIMI), Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-7963-6818
Michael J KimApplied Innovations and Medical Informatics (AIMI), Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0009-0001-9266-7229
R Spencer SchaeferMedical Informatics Data Science and Emerging Technology (MinDSET), Veterans Affairs Kansas City Healthcare System, Kansas City, MO.ORCID 0009-0006-6824-1056
Jeannie YuDivision of Cardiology, Veterans Affairs Long Beach Healthcare System, Long Beach, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-9043-8791
Amilcare GentiliDepartment of Radiology, Veterans Affairs San Diego Healthcare System, San Diego, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-5623-7512
Hugo J W L AertsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIM) Program, Mass General Brigham, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-2122-2003

Funding

Intramural VA VA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCoronary artery calcium (CAC) is highly predictive of cardiovascular events. Although millions of chest computed tomography (CT) scans are performed annually in the United States, CAC is not routinely quantified from scans done for noncardiac purposes.

methodsWe developed a deep learning algorithm, AI-CAC, using 446 expert segmentations to automatically quantify CAC on noncontrast, nongated CT scans. Our study differs from prior works by utilizing imaging data from 98 medical centers across the Veterans Affairs national health care system, capturing extensive heterogeneity in imaging protocols, scanners, and patients. AI-CAC performance on nongated scans was compared against clinical standard electrocardiogram (ECG)-gated CAC scoring in 795 patients with paired gated scans within 1 year of their nongated scan. In addition, the model was tested on 8052 low-dose CTs (LDCTs) to simulate opportunistic CAC screening.

resultsNongated AI-CAC differentiated zero versus nonzero and less than 100 versus 100 or greater Agatston scores with accuracies of 89.4% (F1 0.93) and 87.3% (F1 0.89), respectively. Nongated AI-CAC was predictive of 10-year all-cause mortality (CAC 0 vs. >400 group: 25.4% vs. 60.2%, Cox hazard ratio 3.49; P<0.005), and composite first-time stroke, myocardial infarction, or death (CAC 0 vs. >400 group: 33.5% vs. 63.8%, Cox hazard ratio 3.00; P<0.005). In the LDCT dataset, 3091 out of 8052 (38.4%) individuals had AI-CAC scores >400. Four cardiologists qualitatively reviewed a random sample of the >400 AI-CAC LDCT patients and verified that 527 of the 531 (99.2%) would benefit from lipid-lowering therapy.

conclusionsThis nongated CT CAC algorithm was developed across a national health care system and shows strong performance in evaluation against paired gated CT scans. The model code and weights are available at https://github.com/Raffi-Hagopian/AI-CAC/. (Funded by the Veterans Affairs health care system.).

Identifiers

PMID40746702
PMCPMC12311810

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.