Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40747416›Full record

ArticlebioRxiv : the preprint server for biology2025

Benchmarking Large Language Models for Predictive Modeling in Biomedical Research With a Focus on Reproductive Health.

Reuben Sarwal, Victor Tarca, Claire Dubin, Nikolas Kalavros, Gaurav Bhatti, Sanchita Bhattacharya, Atul Butte, Roberto Romero, Gustavo Stolovitzky, Tomiko T Oskotsky and 2 more

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Reuben SarwalBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0394-968X
Victor TarcaHuron High School. Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Claire DubinBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Nikolas KalavrosNew York University Langone Health, New York, New York, 10016, USA.
Gaurav BhattiCenter for Molecular Medicine and Genetics, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, Michigan, USA.
Sanchita BhattacharyaBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Atul ButteBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Roberto RomeroPregnancy Research Branch, Division of Obstetrics and Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Division of Intramural Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, United States Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, Maryland, USA.
Gustavo StolovitzkyDepartment of Pathology, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY 10016, USA.
Tomiko T OskotskyBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7393-5120
Adi L TarcaCenter for Molecular Medicine and Genetics, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, Michigan, USA.
Marina SirotaBakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Generative AI, particularly large language models (LLMs), is increasingly being used in computational biology to support code generation for data analysis. In this study, we evaluated the ability of LLMs to generate functional R and Python code for predictive modeling tasks, leveraging standardized molecular datasets from several recent DREAM (Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessments and Methods) Challenges focused on reproductive health. We assessed LLM performance across four predictive tasks derived from three DREAM challenges: gestational age regression from gene expression, gestational age regression from DNA methylation profiles, and classification of preterm birth and early preterm birth from microbiome data. LLMs were prompted with task descriptions, data locations, and target outcomes. LLM-generated code was then run to fit and apply prediction models and generate graphics, and they were ranked based on their success in completing the tasks and achieving strong test set performance. Among the eight LLMs tested, o3-mini-high, 4o, DeepseekR1 and Gemini 2.0 completed at least one task without error. Overall, R code generation was more successful (14/16 tasks) than Python (7/16), attributed to the utility of Bioconductor packages for querying Gene Expression Omnibus data. OpenAI's o3-mini-high outperformed others, completing 7/8 tasks. Test set performance of the top LLM matched or exceeded top-performing teams from the original DREAM challenges. These findings underscore the potential of LLMs to enhance exploratory analysis and democratize access to predictive modeling in omics by automating key components of analysis pipelines, and highlight the potential to increase research output when conducting analyses of standardized datasets from public repositories.

Identifiers

PMID40747416
PMCPMC12312170

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.