Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40775309›Full record

SynthesisBMC pulmonary medicine2025

Incidence and prevalence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a systematic literature review and meta-analysis.

Negar Golchin, Aditya Patel, Julia Scheuring, Victoria Wan, Kimberly Hofer, Jean-Paul Collet, Brandon Elpers, Tamara Lesperance

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
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  6. Multi-omics insights into the mechanisms and prognosis of IPF.Genes and environment : the official journal of the Japanese Environmental Mutagen Society · 2026
    Review
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  8. Article
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  11. Regulated Cell Death in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.FASEB journal : official publication of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology · 2026
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
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  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Negar GolchinBristol Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, NJ, USA. negar.golchin@bms.com.
Aditya PatelBristol Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, NJ, USA.
Julia ScheuringBristol Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, NJ, USA.
Victoria WanEvidinno Outcomes Research Inc, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Kimberly HoferEvidinno Outcomes Research Inc, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Jean-Paul ColletEvidinno Outcomes Research Inc, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Brandon ElpersBristol Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, NJ, USA.
Tamara LesperanceBristol Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, NJ, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive and serious lung disease with a poor prognosis and severe clinical and humanistic burden. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis aimed to summarize and quantify the data on IPF incidence and prevalence among adults within the general population and to compare regional differences.

methodsComprehensive searches of MEDLINE

resultsOf 4,077 records identified, 26 studies were included in the meta-analysis (17 reported both prevalence and incidence, 6 reported incidence only, 3 reported prevalence only). Most studies were retrospective, with study periods ranging from 1984 to 2021. Pooled global incidence per 100,000 (95% confidence interval) was 5.8 (4.8, 6.8; 23 studies). Pooled incidence in Asia was 4.4 (1.6, 7.2; 5 studies), 5.1 (3.9, 6.3; 13 studies) in Europe, and 9.0 (6.9, 11.1; 5 studies) in North America. Pooled prevalence (per 100,000) was 17.7 (14.0, 21.5; 20 studies) globally, 14.8 (7.1, 22.6; 6 studies) in Asia, 14.6 (9.4, 19.7; 9 studies) in Europe, and 27.2 (21.0, 33.4; 6 studies) in North America.

conclusionThis analysis confirms that IPF is a rare condition globally, but substantial heterogeneity exists across studies. Incidence and prevalence were notably high in North America compared with Europe and Asia. This finding may be explained by the use of selective source populations in North American studies, in contrast to the more general populations used in European or Asian studies. Additional contributing factors include variations in case identification algorithms, differences in diagnostic definitions and regional differences in occupational and environmental exposures. While recent multi-societal guidelines have advanced the standardization of the IPF diagnostic process, variability in clinical practice remains a challenge that affects comparisons of incidence and prevalence across regions and over time.

Indexed as

Idiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisAsiaEuropeGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceNorth AmericaPrevalenceEpidemiologyIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosisIncidenceLung diseases, interstitialPrevalence

Identifiers

PMID40775309
PMCPMC12330001

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.