Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40796167›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2025

Pulling back the curtain: the road from statistical estimand to machine-learning-based estimator for epidemiologists (no wizard required).

Audrey Renson, Lina Montoya, Dana E Goin, Iván Díaz, Rachael K Ross

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Audrey RensonDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York 10016, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-1603-2587
Lina MontoyaSchool of Data Science and Society, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27514, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-0975-4306
Dana E GoinDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-7557-7977
Iván DíazDepartment of Population Health, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York 10016, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-9056-2047
Rachael K RossDepartment of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-2049-6918

Funding

Evaluating the effect of water fluoridation on adverse birth outcomesR00ES033274 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI GOIN, DANA E · 2023 to 2025
$747k
What works, for whom? Applying novel precision medicine methods to people with mental illness in the justice system.R00MH133985 · NIMH · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI MONTOYA, LINA · 2024 to 2025
$729k
Bezos foundationNIH HHS R00ES033274NIH HHS R00MH133985
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Epidemiologists increasingly use causal inference methods that rely on machine learning, as these approaches can relax unnecessary model specification assumptions. While deriving and studying asymptotic properties of such estimators is a task usually associated with statisticians, it is useful for epidemiologists to understand the steps involved, as epidemiologists are often at the forefront of defining important new research questions and translating them into new parameters to be estimated. In this paper, our goal was to provide a relatively accessible guide through the process of (1) deriving an estimator based on the so-called efficient influence function (which we define and explain), and (2) showing such an estimator's ability to validly incorporate machine learning, by demonstrating the so-called rate double robustness property. The derivations in this paper rely mainly on algebra and some foundational results from statistical inference, which are explained.

Indexed as

EpidemiologistsMachine LearningModels, StatisticalCausalityData Interpretation, StatisticalEpidemiologic MethodsHumanscausal inferenceefficient influence functionsmachine learningsemiparametric theory

Identifiers

PMID40796167
PMCPMC12671979

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.