Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40796244›Full record

Trial reportEuropean heart journal2025

Aspirin, cardiovascular events, and major bleeding in older adults: extended follow-up of the ASPREE trial.

Rory Wolfe, Jonathan C Broder, Zhen Zhou, Anne M Murray, Joanne Ryan, Andrew T Chan, Mark R Nelson, Robyn L Woods, Michael E Ernst, Suzanne G Orchard and 21 more

Abstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in European heart journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Age-Related Platelet Cox-1 Upregulation in Atrial Fibrillation.International journal of molecular sciences · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors.

Rory WolfeSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2126-1045
Jonathan C BroderSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Zhen ZhouSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0835-8686
Anne M MurrayBerman Centre for Outcomes and Clinical Research, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute, Minneapolis, MN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2787-8433
Joanne RyanSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-7039-6325
Andrew T ChanClinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7284-6767
Mark R NelsonSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Robyn L WoodsSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Michael E ErnstDepartment of Pharmacy Practice and Science, College of Pharmacy, The University of Iowa, Iowa, IA, USA.
Suzanne G OrchardSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Brenda KirpachBerman Centre for Outcomes and Clinical Research, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Christopher M ReidSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Raj C ShahDepartment of Family & Preventive Medicine and the Rush Alzheimer's Disease Center, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago, IL, USA.
Nigel StocksDiscipline of General Practice, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
Karen L MargolisHealthPartners Institute, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Johannes T NeumannSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Michelle WilsonSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Sharyn FitzgeraldSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Suzanne E MahadySchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Erica M WoodSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Shara KetSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Charles B EatonCenter for Primary Care and Prevention, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA.
Peter HandStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Mobin MalikCalifornia Heart & Vascular Clinic, San Diego, CA, USA.
Walter P AbhayaratnaCollege of Health and Medicine, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Prasanna VenkataramanSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Peter ChanSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.
Geoffrey C CloudStroke Unit, Department of Neurology, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Geoffrey A DonnanMelbourne Brain Centre, Royal Melbourne Hospital, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
Jeff D WilliamsonSticht Center on Aging and Alzheimer's Prevention, Section on Gerontology and Geriatric Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC, USA.
Andrew M TonkinSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 553 St Kilda Road, Melbourne 3004, VIC, Australia.

Funding

Precision Prevention Research ProgramR35CA253185 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Andrew T Chan · 2020 to 2026
$6.9M
Monash UniversityNational Health and Medical Research Council of AustraliaNational Institute on Aging and the National Cancer InstituteNCI NIH HHS R35 CA253185NIH HHS 1127060NIH HHS 334047
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsGuidelines recommend against routine initiation of low-dose aspirin in older adults for primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. This study aimed to estimate long-term and post-trial effects of aspirin on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and major haemorrhage using extended follow-up of participants from the ASPREE trial.

methodsIn-trial (2010-17) and post-trial (2017-22) data were analysed. At enrolment, participants were aged ≥70 years (≥65 years for US minorities) without prior cardiovascular events, dementia, or independence-limiting physical disability. Randomization was to daily low-dose aspirin or matching placebo for the 4.7 years of the trial.

resultsOf the 19 114 participants randomized (9525 aspirin, 9589 placebo), 15 668 without in-trial MACE consented to post-trial follow-up. No long-term benefit of randomization to aspirin was observed for MACE for the entire in-trial and post-trial period [hazard ratio (HR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) .94, 1.15]. However, during the post-trial period (median 4.3 years), there was a higher rate of MACE (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.01, 1.36) in those randomized to aspirin compared with placebo. Over the entire period, a higher rate of major haemorrhage was observed in the randomized aspirin group compared with placebo (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.10, 1.39).

conclusionsThe present study provides novel evidence concerning long-term MACE and haemorrhage following aspirin use in initially healthy older adults. The finding of no long-term MACE benefit needs to be considered in clinical decision-making if aspirin is being considered for use in this context.

Indexed as

AspirinCardiovascular DiseasesHemorrhagePlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMalePrimary PreventionAspirinPlatelet Aggregation InhibitorsAspirinClinical trialCoronary artery diseaseHaemorrhageMajor adverse cardiovascular eventsObservational follow-upStroke

Identifiers

PMID40796244
PMCPMC12596486

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.