Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40810076›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in endocrinology2025

Incidence and risk factors for modic changes in the lumbar spine: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Zhenyu Cao, Mingtao Zhang, Jingwen Jia, Guangzhi Zhang, Lei Li, Zhili Yang, Feng Zheng, Xuewen Kang

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in endocrinology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Zhenyu Cao *Department of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Mingtao Zhang *Department of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Jingwen JiaDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Guangzhi ZhangDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Lei LiDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Zhili YangDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Feng ZhengDepartment of Orthopaedics, Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital, Xining, Qinghai, China.
Xuewen KangDepartment of Orthopaedics, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Modic changes refer to bone marrow alterations beneath vertebral endplates and are potentially linked to infection, trauma, disc degeneration, scoliosis, and other pathological conditions. Systematic evaluations of their incidence and associated risk factors in the lumbar spine are lacking. This study aimed to analyze and evaluate the incidence and risk factors of Modic changes in lumbar spine disorders. Methods: A comprehensive systematic review was conducted using Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases. Eligible studies reported the incidence and associated risk factors of Modic changes in the lumbar spine. Data were extracted and systematically analyzed from the selected studies, and meta-analyses were conducted employing random or fixed effects models. Results: Twenty-five studies were included in the meta-analysis. The overall incidence of Modic changes was 35%. Six risk factors were identified and quantitatively assessed. Strong evidence supported the association of endplate changes (OR=3.56; 95% CI=2.00 to 6.32; p<0.0001); moderate evidence supported the association of age (OR=4.01; 95% CI=1.37 to 6.65; p=0.003), disc degeneration (OR=8.54; 95% CI=1.98 to 36.73; p=0.004), and lumbar lordosis angle (OR=-4.14; 95% CI=-6.79 to -1.49; p=0.002); minor evidence supported the association of spondylolisthesis (OR=2.00; 95% CI=1.12 to 3.58; p=0.02) and physical labor (OR=1.81; 95% CI=1.08 to 3.04; p=0.03) with the occurrence of Modic changes in the lumbar spine. No significant associations were found to support body mass index, sex, disc herniation, smoking, distributional segmentation, or sacral slope angle as risk factors for Modic changes in the lumbar spine. Conclusion: Modic changes occur in 35% of lumbar spine cases, with advanced age, disc degeneration, endplate changes, spondylolisthesis, reduced anterior lumbar lordosis angles, and participation in physical labor identified as associated risk factors.

Indexed as

Intervertebral Disc DegenerationLumbar VertebraeSpinal DiseasesHumansIncidenceRisk Factorsincidencelower back painlumbar spinemeta-analysismodic changerisk factor

Identifiers

PMID40810076
PMCPMC12343257

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.