Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40833775›Full record

ArticleJAMA cardiology2025

Artificial Intelligence-Enhanced Electrocardiography for Complete Heart Block Risk Stratification.

Arunashis Sau, Henry Zhang, Joseph Barker, Libor Pastika, Konstantinos Patlatzoglou, Boroumand Zeidaabadi, Ahmed El-Medany, Gul Rukh Khattak, Kathryn A McGurk, Ewa Sieliwonczyk and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Artificial intelligence for patient selection in pulsed-field ablation: promise, pragmatism, and the need for standards.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Arunashis SauNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Henry ZhangNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Joseph BarkerNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Libor PastikaNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Konstantinos PatlatzoglouNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Boroumand ZeidaabadiNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Ahmed El-MedanyNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Gul Rukh KhattakNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Kathryn A McGurkNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Ewa SieliwonczykNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
James S WareNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Nicholas S PetersNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Daniel B KramerNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Jonathan W WaksHarvard-Thorndike Electrophysiology Institute, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Fu Siong NgNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Complete heart block (CHB) is a life-threatening condition that can lead to ventricular standstill, syncopal injury, and sudden cardiac death, and current electrocardiography (ECG)-based risk stratification (presence of bifascicular block) is crude and has limited performance. Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) has been shown to identify a broad spectrum of subclinical disease and may be useful for CHB. Objective: To develop an AI-ECG risk estimator for CHB (AIRE-CHB) to predict incident CHB. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was a development and external validation prognostic study conducted at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and validated externally in the UK Biobank volunteer cohort. Exposure: Electrocardiogram. Main Outcomes and Measures: A new diagnosis of CHB more than 31 days after the ECG. AIRE-CHB uses a residual convolutional neural network architecture with a discrete-time survival loss function and was trained to predict incident CHB. Results: The Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center cohort included 1 163 401 ECGs from 189 539 patients. AIRE-CHB predicted incident CHB with a C index of 0.836 (95% CI, 0.819-0.534) and area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) for incident CHB within 1 year of 0.889 (95% CI, 0.863-0.916). In comparison, the presence of bifascicular block had an AUROC of 0.594 (95% CI, 0.567-0.620). Participants in the high-risk quartile had an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 11.6 (95% CI, 7.62-17.7; P < .001) for development of incident CHB compared with the low-risk group. In the UKB UK Biobank cohort of 50 641 ECGs from 189 539 patients, the C index for incident CHB prediction was 0.936 (95% CI, 0.900-0.972) and aHR, 7.17 (95% CI, 1.67-30.81; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, a first-of-its-kind deep learning model identified the risk of incident CHB. AIRE-CHB could be used in diverse settings to aid in decision-making for individuals with syncope or at risk of high-grade atrioventricular block.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceElectrocardiographyHeart BlockAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID40833775
PMCPMC12368796

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.