Evidence mapPaperPMID 40924110Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2025

Evaluating the role of alpha cell dysregulation in the progression to type 2 diabetes using mathematical simulations.

Vijaya Subramanian, Arthur S Sherman, Jens J Holst, Filip K Knop, Tina Vilsbøll, Jonatan I Bagger

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Article in Diabetologia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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3citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Vijaya SubramanianInstitute for Computational Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA. vsubram6@jhu.edu.
Arthur S ShermanLaboratory of Biological Modeling, National Institute of Diabetes, Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Jens J HolstNovo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Filip K KnopCenter for Clinical Metabolic Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup, Denmark.
Tina VilsbøllDepartment of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Jonatan I BaggerCenter for Clinical Metabolic Research, Gentofte Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Hellerup, Denmark. jonatan.ising.bagger.01@regionh.dk.

Funding

Etiology of Impaired Counterregulation in Glucose Homeostasis: Exploring the Roles of Glucagon, Somatostatin, Cortisol, and Epinephrine through Mathematical Modeling of Oral Glucose Tolerance TestsK25DK131328 · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · 2025 to 2025
$123k
Division of Diabetes, Endocrinology, and Metabolic Diseases DK131328Investigator Initiated Studies Program of Merck&Co grant No. 34851NIDDK NIH HHS K25 DK131328
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisAlpha cell dysregulation is an integral part of type 2 diabetes pathophysiology, increasing fasting as well as postprandial glucose concentrations. Alpha cell dysregulation occurs in tandem with the development of insulin resistance and changes in beta cell function. Our aim was to investigate, using mathematical modelling, the role of alpha cell dysregulation in beta cell compensatory insulin secretion and subsequent failure in the progression from normoglycaemia to type 2 diabetes defined by ADA criteria.

methodsWe developed a physiological model of glucose homeostasis, whereby the fast dynamics of glucose, insulin and glucagon are coupled to the dynamics of beta cell functional mass (a product of individual beta cell functional capacity and mass). Beta cell functional mass exhibits an initial compensatory increase in response to hyperglycaemia, followed by an eventual decline due to glucotoxicity. Alpha cell dysregulation, defined as increased glucagon secretion and lowered glucagon suppression resulting in hyperglycaemia, was introduced to varying extents, and simulations were carried out to assess the effects on beta cell functional mass over a 20 year period.

resultsThe simulations were carried out under conditions of moderate, mild or no alpha cell dysregulation. The parameters representing insulin resistance, glucagon secretion and suppression for an individual with normoglycaemia obtained from previously published work were evolved over a period of 20 years to the mean values observed in type 2 diabetes. The model was validated by visually matching the beta cell functional mass obtained from the simulations of the disease progression model to previously published parameters. Those parameters were obtained from fits of a model of OGTTs to data from a cross-sectional cohort that spanned the spectrum from normoglycaemia to type 2 diabetes. We found that mild alpha cell dysregulation elicited robust beta cell compensation, resulting in controlled postprandial glucose excursions despite the development of insulin resistance. Moderate alpha cell dysregulation initially enhanced compensation but eventually accelerated the progression to type 2 diabetes. Alpha cell dysregulation impacted the time course of the standard markers of diabetes (fasting glucose, 2 h plasma glucose and HbA CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationThe early stages of alpha cell dysregulation led to robust beta cell functional mass compensation driven by elevated fasting glucose. When the dysregulation progressed further, glucose levels rose to levels of glucotoxicity, exacerbating beta cell functional mass loss and accelerating the onset of type 2 diabetes. The various markers of diabetes (fasting glucose, 2 h plasma glucose and HbA

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Secreting CellsBlood GlucoseComputer SimulationDisease ProgressionGlucagonHumansHyperglycemiaInsulinInsulin ResistanceInsulin-Secreting CellsModels, BiologicalBlood GlucoseGlucagonInsulin2 h plasma glucoseAlpha cell dysregulationBeta cell compensationBeta cell failureFasting glucoseGlucagonHbA1cIncretinsInsulin resistanceLongitudinal progression

Identifiers

PMID40924110
PMCPMC12534288

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.