Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40948924›Full record

ArticleGland surgery2025

A dynamic nomogram and risk stratification system for predicting cancer-specific survival in patients with locally advanced differentiated thyroid cancer: a population-based study.

Jie Yuan, Zhirong Li, Likuan Tu, Yijia Cao, Qing Li, Fan Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Gland surgery, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jie YuanDepartment of General Surgery, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Zhirong LiDepartment of General Surgery, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Likuan TuDepartment of General Surgery, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yijia CaoDepartment of General Surgery, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Qing LiDepartment of General Surgery, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Fan LiDepartment of Surgery and Anesthesiology, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-9507-6408

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Locally advanced differentiated thyroid cancer (LADTC) refers to a severe stage of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) with a relatively poor prognosis. This study aimed to construct a dynamic nomogram and risk stratification system to predict cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with LADTC. Methods: A total of 4,856 patients diagnosed with LADTC from 2004 to 2020 were included from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Cox regression analyses were utilized to identify variables and construct the dynamic nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using the concordance index (C-index), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the curve (AUC), and calibration plot, while decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted to evaluate clinical benefits. The improvement of the nomogram in comparison to the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system was evaluated using the C-index, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). A risk stratification system was established according to the total score of each patient in the nomogram. Results: Eight variables were identified to construct the nomogram. The C-index, time-dependent ROC curve, AUC, calibration plot, and DCA demonstrated the strong performance and clinical benefits of the nomogram. The C-index, NRI, and IDI indicated that the nomogram outperformed the AJCC staging system in prognostic prediction. The risk stratification system demonstrated the favorable ability to categorize patients with LADTC. Conclusions: A dynamic nomogram and risk stratification system were constructed and validated to assist clinicians in evaluating prognostic risk and devising personalized treatment strategies for patients with LADTC.

Indexed as

cancer-specific survival (CSS)dynamic nomogramLocally advanced differentiated thyroid cancer (LADTC)risk stratification systemSurveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER database)

Identifiers

PMID40948924
PMCPMC12432967

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.