Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40954046›Full record

ArticleBMJ open diabetes research & care2025

Baseline and longitudinal changes of body roundness index and incident type 2 diabetes: evidence from the UK Biobank cohort.

Xuanli Zhao, Fangyuan Jing, Yanan Ren, Jing Zhu, Xinzhe Jing, Meiqun Lv, Ke Huang, Jing Guo, Jiayu Li, Xiaohui Sun and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open diabetes research & care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Xuanli Zhao *Department of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Fangyuan Jing *Department of Public Health, Shulan International Medical College, Zhejiang Shuren University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
Yanan Ren *Department of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Jing ZhuDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Xinzhe JingDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Meiqun LvDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Ke HuangDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Jing GuoDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Jiayu LiDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Xiaohui SunDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China.
Yingying MaoDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China yeding@zcmu.edu.cn myy@zcmu.edu.cn.
Ding YeDepartment of Public Health, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, China yeding@zcmu.edu.cn myy@zcmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6654-7832

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionType 2 diabetes (T2D) is closely associated with excess adiposity, particularly visceral fat. The body roundness index (BRI), calculated from height and waist circumference, provides a refined estimate of visceral adiposity. This study aimed to investigate the associations of baseline BRI and longitudinal changes in BRI with the risk of incident T2D. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsWe used UK Biobank data, a cohort involving adults aged 37-73 years. Both baseline and last follow-up BRI values were classified according to the tertiles of baseline BRI, and long-term BRI changes were categorized by baseline and follow-up grades. The annual average rate of change (AARC) of BRI was also calculated. Cox regression models were employed to evaluate HRs and 95% CIs, while restricted cubic splines explored non-linear relationships.

resultsAmong 485 509 participants, 32 956 developed T2D during the follow-up period. Elevated baseline BRI was correlated with a greater risk of T2D, with adjusted HRs of 2.39 (95% CI: 2.28 to 2.51) and 6.23 (95% CI: 5.96 to 6.50) for the second and third tertiles of BRI, respectively. In the longitudinal analysis of 65 684 participants (1153 T2D cases), low baseline BRI with grade increase was linked to higher risk of T2D (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.05 to 2.13). Among participants with middle baseline BRI, grade decrease and increase showed HRs of 0.65 (95% CI: 0.45 to 0.93) and 1.66 (95% CI: 1.32 to 2.10) versus stable middle. Grade decrease with high baseline BRI was associated with lower T2D risk (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.40 to 0.62) compared with stable high. Non-linear associations between AARC of BRI and T2D risk were identified (p <0.05).

conclusionsThis study shows that both baseline BRI and long-term BRI changes are linked to T2D risk, emphasizing the significance of monitoring BRI trends for T2D prevention and control.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2AdiposityAdultAgedBiological Specimen BanksBody Mass IndexFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRisk FactorsUK BiobankObesityObesity, AbdominalType 2 Diabetes

Identifiers

PMID40954046
PMCPMC12439138

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.