Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40965002›Full record

ArticleAllergy2026

Live Zoster Vaccination and the Reduced Risk of Chronic Respiratory Diseases: An Emulated Target Trial.

Tae Hyeon Kim, Kyeongmin Lee, Jaehyeong Cho, Jiyeon Oh, Sooji Lee, Lee Smith, Francesco Branda, Junyang Jung, Jinseok Lee, Hayeon Lee and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Allergy, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Global herpes zoster burden in adults with COPD: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Tae Hyeon KimCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Kyeongmin LeeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Jaehyeong ChoCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Jiyeon OhCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Sooji LeeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Lee SmithCentre for Health, Performance and Wellbeing, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK.
Francesco BrandaUnit of Medical Statistics and Molecular Epidemiology, Università Campus Bio-Medico di Roma, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-9485-3877
Junyang JungDepartment of Anatomy and Neurobiology, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Jinseok LeeDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin, South Korea.
Hayeon LeeCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Dong Keon YonCenter for Digital Health, Medical Science Research Institute, Kyung Hee University Medical Center, Kyung Hee University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-1628-9948

Funding

Ministry of Science and ICT, South Korea IITP-2024-RS-2024-00438239Ministry of Science and ICT, South Korea RS-2024-00509257
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecent previous study suggests that live zoster vaccination may reduce the risk of diseases like dementia and cardiovascular diseases, through prevention of herpes zoster. Thus, this study aims to evaluate whether live zoster vaccination can reduce the risk of chronic respiratory disease including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, and interstitial lung disease (ILD).

methodsThis target trial emulation study utilized a nationwide, population-based cohort of 2,519,582 individuals aged ≥ 50 years in South Korea. The cohort was constructed by integrating health insurance data from the Korea Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service, national health examination data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, and vaccination records from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency. The exposure was receipt of at least one dose of live zoster vaccination between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2021. Outcomes included the incidence of newly diagnosed COPD, asthma, and ILD, as well as hospitalizations associated with these conditions. Following stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting, we employed the Cox proportional hazards model to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and calculated restricted mean survival time (RMST) for the risk of outcomes associated with live zoster vaccination. The observation period extends from the index date to January 31, 2024. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsAfter stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting, 745,644 individuals were assigned to the vaccinated group and 1,069,230 to the unvaccinated group, with a mean age of 62.12 years (SD, 3.45) and 49.18% were male. Live zoster vaccination significantly reduced the risk of COPD (aHR, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.69-0.71]; RMST difference, 23.22 days [95% CI, 21.72-24.71]), asthma (0.68 [0.67-0.69]; 25.96 days [24.52-27.40]) and ILD (0.78 [0.73-0.82]; 2.39 days [2.05-2.74]). Additionally, the vaccination significantly reduced the risk of hospital admissions due to these conditions: COPD (0.59 [0.53-0.65]), asthma (0.54 [0.49-0.59]), and ILD (0.68 [0.58-0.79]). The observed protective benefit was more pronounced in non-smokers compared to current smokers. The time-attenuated effect was strongest during 1 to 2 years following live zoster vaccination and remained evident for up to 6 years.

conclusionsLive zoster vaccination significantly reduced the incidence of chronic respiratory disease and related hospitalizations. These findings suggest that live zoster vaccination may provide public health benefits beyond preventing herpes zoster in adults aged ≥ 50 years.

Indexed as

Herpes ZosterHerpes Zoster VaccineAgedAged, 80 and overChronic DiseaseCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRepublic of KoreaRisk FactorsVaccinationHerpes Zoster Vaccineasthmachronic obstructive pulmonary diseasechronic respiratory diseaseherpes zosterinterstitial lung diseaselive zoster vaccination

Identifiers

PMID40965002
PMCPMC12773683

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.