Evidence mapPaperPMID 40974336Full record

ArticleJournal of evidence-based medicine2025

Disease Burden of Gastrointestinal Tumors in China From 1990 to 2021, an Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lanwei Guo, Jiani Yuan, Lin Cai, Chenxin Zhu, Yan Zheng, Haiyan Yang, Yanyan Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of evidence-based medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lanwei GuoDepartment of Clinical Research Management, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0822-2578
Jiani YuanDepartment of Clinical Research Management, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
Lin CaiDepartment of Clinical Research Management, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
Chenxin ZhuDepartment of Clinical Research Management, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
Yan ZhengDepartment of Clinical Research Management, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
Haiyan YangDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
Yanyan LiuDepartment of Clinical Research Management, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.

Funding

Investigator-initiated Clinical Trial and Transformation of Scientific Achievements, Henan Cancer Hospital ITTA2416Training Project for Young and Middle-aged Excellent Talents in Health Science and Technology Innovation of Henan Province YXKC2022045
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveChina faces a significant burden of gastrointestinal tumors driven by socioeconomic, environmental, and lifestyle factors. Using GBD2021 data, this study analyses epidemiological trends and disease burden for six major gastrointestinal tumor cancers (esophagus, gastric, colorectum, liver, pancreas, gallbladder and biliary tract) in China (1990-2021).

methodsThe GBD 2021 was used to extract the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) data of gastrointestinal tumors in China. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated. Temporal trends were assessed by joinpoint regression analysis, and average annual percent change (AAPC) and annual percentage change (APC) were calculated and analyzed stratified by gender and age group.

resultsIn 2021, China recorded 1.96 million new gastrointestinal cancer cases, with 1.35 million deaths and 33.07 million DALYs. Gastric cancer led in mortality, and colorectal cancer demonstrated the most rapid incidence growth (AAPC = 1.68). Significant reductions were observed in gastric cancer age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) (AAPC = -2.44) and esophageal cancer age-standardized disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDR) (AAPC = -2.31). Gender disparities were particularly pronounced in esophageal cancer, with the male-to-female mortality ratio (M/F) escalating from 2.50 (1990) to 4.12 (2021). The age group with the highest mortality burden was 70-74, while the age group with the most significant loss of DALYs was 65-69.

conclusionChina has significantly reduced gastrointestinal cancer burden, but gender and age disparities persist, necessitating targeted interventions. Future efforts should focus on tertiary prevention for high-risk groups, especially males and the elderly, while enhancing molecular subtyping and regional data stratification for precision cancer control.

Indexed as

Cost of IllnessGastrointestinal NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChinaDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedYoung Adultburdengastrointestinal tumorstrends

Identifiers

PMID40974336
PMCPMC12506945

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.