Evidence mapPaperPMID 40976663Full record

ArticleBMJ open2025

Cardiovascular effects of incretin-based drugs in patients with and without a history of heart failure: a protocol for a systematic review, meta-analysis and trial sequential analysis of randomised controlled trials.

Mohammed El-Sheikh, Christina Dam Bjerregaard Sillassen, Frederik Dencker Wisborg, Jens Dahlgaard Hove, Carsten Dirksen, Matthew Meng Yang Lee, Janus C Jakobsen, Johannes Grand

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Mohammed El-SheikhDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Amager and Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark, Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark mo-sheikh@hotmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0549-2203
Christina Dam Bjerregaard SillassenCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital ̶ Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-9247-5245
Frederik Dencker WisborgDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Amager and Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark, Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Jens Dahlgaard HoveDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Amager and Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark, Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Carsten DirksenDepartment of Respiratory Diseases and Endocrinology, Copenhagen University Hospital - Amager and Hvidovre, Hvidovre, Denmark, Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.
Matthew Meng Yang LeeSchool of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Health, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Janus C JakobsenCopenhagen Trial Unit, Centre for Clinical Intervention Research, The Capital Region, Copenhagen University Hospital ̶ Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Johannes GrandDepartment of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Amager and Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark, Hvidovre Hospital, Hvidovre, Denmark.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5511-4668

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIncretin-based drugs, including glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (RAs) and dual glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP)/GLP-1 RAs, are increasingly used in the management of type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity. While these agents have shown cardiovascular benefits, their effects on both cardiovascular outcomes and cardiac structure and function remain uncertain-particularly in patients with and without a history of heart failure (HF). METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will conduct a systematic review and search major medical databases (Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online (MEDLINE), Excerpta Medica Database (EMBASE), Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS), Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) and Conference Proceedings Citation Index-Science (CPCI-S)), as well as clinical trial registries from their inception and onwards to identify relevant randomised trials. The literature search is scheduled for July 2025. Two review authors will independently extract data and assess risk of bias. We will include randomised controlled trials assessing the effects of cagrilintide/semaglutide, liraglutide, semaglutide and tirzepatide in patients with and without a history of HF. The primary outcome will be cardiovascular mortality. Secondary outcomes will include HF hospitalisation, myocardial infarction, stroke, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide, left ventricular ejection fraction, left ventricular end-diastolic volume and left ventricular end-systolic volume. Data will be synthesised by aggregate data meta-analyses and trial sequential analysis. Risk of bias will be assessed with the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool, version 2, and the certainty of the evidence will be assessed by Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE). ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: As this study is a systematic review based on secondary analysis of published data, ethical approval is not required. Findings will be published in international peer-reviewed scientific journals. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD420251003374.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Heart FailureIncretinsGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHumansMeta-Analysis as TopicRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicResearch DesignSystematic Reviews as TopicGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsIncretinsCardiovascular DiseaseDrug TherapyHeart failureMeta-AnalysisSafetySystematic Review

Identifiers

PMID40976663
PMCPMC12458674

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.