Evidence mapPaperPMID 40980721Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal open2025

Tirzepatide compared with semaglutide and 10-year cardiovascular disease risk reduction in obesity:

Mamas A Mamas, Harold Bays, Runjia Li, Navneet Upadhyay, Tanya Irani, Cagri Senyucel, Julia P Dunn, Hong Liu-Seifert

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT05822830. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05822830 phase3completed

A Phase 3b, Randomized Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Tirzepatide Compared to Semaglutide in Adults Who Have Obesity or Overweight With Weight Related Comorbidities

Ran2023Enrolled751Registered outcomes9Posted comparisons4ConditionsObesity, OverweightArmssemaglutide, Tirzepatide
Open the trial in the graph
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
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  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Mamas A MamasKeele Cardiovascular Research Group, School of Medicine, Keele University, Staffordshire ST5 5BG, UK.
Harold BaysLouisville Metabolic and Atherosclerosis Research Center, 3288 Illinois Avenue, Louisville, KY 40213, USA.
Runjia LiEli Lilly and Company, 307 E Merrill, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA.
Navneet UpadhyayEli Lilly and Company, 307 E Merrill, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA.
Tanya IraniEli Lilly and Company, 307 E Merrill, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA.
Cagri SenyucelEli Lilly and Company, 307 E Merrill, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA.
Julia P DunnEli Lilly and Company, 307 E Merrill, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA.
Hong Liu-SeifertEli Lilly and Company, 307 E Merrill, Indianapolis, IN 46285, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aims: Approximately two-thirds of obesity-related mortality is attributable to cardiovascular disease (CVD). The aim of this analysis is to examine predicted CVD risk reduction following weight loss in persons with obesity for primary prevention between tirzepatide and semaglutide, and projected CVD events that could be potentially prevented in the USA. Methods and results: SURMOUNT-5 was a Phase 3b, open-label, randomized trial conducted in participants with obesity and without Type-2 diabetes, comparing tirzepatide (10 or 15 mg) with semaglutide (1.7 or 2.4 mg) and administered via weekly subcutaneous injection. Predicted 10-year CVD risks were compared between treatments at baseline and up to 72 weeks post-treatment among participants without prior CVD. The impact of cardiovascular risk reduction was estimated as the projected preventable CVD events over 10 years for tirzepatide and semaglutide in the USA. The average predicted 10-year CVD risk score before treatment was 9.3%. Treatment with tirzepatide was associated with significantly greater reduction in predicted 10-year CVD risk compared with semaglutide (absolute reduction from baseline of 2.4% and 1.4%, respectively, Conclusion: In SURMOUNT-5, treatment with tirzepatide was associated with greater predicted 10-year CVD risk reduction compared with semaglutide. This Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT05822830.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular diseaseSemaglutideTirzepatide

Identifiers

PMID40980721
PMCPMC12448458

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.