ArticleBMC geriatrics2025
Health inequality in the disease burden of non-communicable diseases among the elderly from 1990 to 2021, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of global burden of disease study.
Article in BMC geriatrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Air Pollution and Brain Tumors in Children. A Systematic Review.Current environmental health reports · 2026Pooled it
- Oral Function, Frailty and Mortality in Older Adults: Evidence from the Chilean National Health Survey 2016-2017.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Article
- Global Research Trends in Dietary Polyphenols for Preventing Non-Communicable Chronic Diseases: A Bibliometric Study.Food science & nutrition · 2026Article
- Frailty and Socioeconomic Development in the European Region-Associations with Mortality in Middle-Aged and Older Adults.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Article
- Developing and Evaluating a Health Literacy Training Model for Volunteer Elderly Caregivers to Prevent and Control NCDs in Thailand: An Action Research Study.Nursing reports (Pavia, Italy) · 2026Article
- The Intersection of Non-Communicable Chronic Disease and Endodontic Care: A Pilot Retrospective Cross-Sectional Study.Dentistry journal · 2026Article
- Burden of Infectious Diseases in Afghanistan in 1999 and 2023: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease 2023 Study.Cureus · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundsThe global burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) among the elderly is rising, yet health inequalities persist across age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI) levels.
objectivesThis study aims to assess global, regional, and national disparities in disease burdens of NCDs among the elderly from 1990 to 2021, with projections up to 2050.
methodsUsing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we analyzed four key metrics of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) for 10 NCDs across age, sex, and SDI levels. Temporal trends were quantified using annual percentage change (AAPC), and projections for NCDs burden up to 2050 were also performed under the assumption of stable socioeconomic conditions.
resultsIn 2021, the global age-standardized rates for incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and DALY (ASDR) were 182,092.67, 99,905.95, 3,360.06, and 75,380.44 per 100,000 individuals among the elderly population, respectively. From 1990 to 2021, there was a slight increase in the ASPR of NCDs by 0.01%, whereas ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR showed declines with rates of -0.04%, -0.99%, and - 0.77%, respectively. Regions with lower SDI exhibited higher disease burden of NCDs, especially in terms of mortality and disability. Furthermore, the predictions for the NCDs burden among the elderly from 2022 to 2050 indicated an incremental trend in prevalence.
conclusionsPersistent disparities in the NCDs burdens highlight the need for equitable healthcare strategies. Healthcare providers are encouraged to provide targeted interventions for specific age groups and address differences in healthcare resource allocation among the elderly across different SDI regions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.