Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41019032›Full record

ReviewJGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology2025

Trends and Demographics of Liver Fibrosis and Cirrhosis-Related Mortality Among Adults Living in the United States From 1999 to 2020: A CDC Wonder Analysis.

Muhammad Shahzad, Syeda Sundus Shah Bokhari, Fnu Rabia, Amna Zaman Khan, Muhammad Abdullah Ali, Ali Hashim, Farah Shahzad, Maryam Tariq, Zarhaish Barkat-Ullah, Malaika Rasheed and 6 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in JGH open : an open access journal of gastroenterology and hepatology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Muhammad ShahzadFoundation University Medical College Islamabad Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-8622-5397
Syeda Sundus Shah BokhariAyub Medical College Abbottabad Pakistan.
Fnu RabiaAllama Iqbal Medical College Lahore Pakistan.
Amna Zaman KhanAl-Aleem Medical College, University of Health Sciences Lahore Pakistan.
Muhammad Abdullah AliKhyber Medical College Peshawar Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-3199-7862
Ali HashimAl-Aleem Medical College, University of Health Sciences Lahore Pakistan.
Farah ShahzadKhyber Medical College Peshawar Pakistan.
Maryam TariqAziz Fatimah Medical and Dental College Faisalabad Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-6639-6284
Zarhaish Barkat-UllahFatima Memorial Hospital College of Medicine and Dentistry Lahore Pakistan.
Malaika RasheedFoundation University Medical College Islamabad Pakistan.
Muhammad Uzair Khan NiaziDepartment of Anatomy Foundation University Medical College Islamabad Pakistan.
Ali HassanFauji Foundation Hospital Rawalpindi Pakistan.
Asfand Yar KhanPak International Medical College Peshawar Pakistan.
Taha Mazhar AwanFoundation University Medical College Islamabad Pakistan.
Saad Ahmed WaqasDow University of Health Sciences Karachi Pakistan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0008-9051-6081
Raheel AhmedNational Heart and Lung Institute Imperial College London London England.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2814-7314

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Liver cirrhosis, the fifth leading cause of adult mortality, involves progressive, irreversible liver fibrosis and loss of function. Its rising prevalence necessitates studying trends, identifying high-risk groups, and enhancing preventive strategies. This study aims to assess temporal trends and demographic disparities in liver fibrosis and cirrhosis-related mortality in the United States from 1999 to 2020. Methods: Death certificates from the CDC WONDER(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research) database for 1999-2020 were analyzed for liver fibrosis and cirrhosis-associated mortality in adults > 25 years. AAMRs per 100 000 were stratified by year, sex, race/ethnicity, and region. Joinpoint Regression (v5.3.0.0) calculated annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC), identifying significant trends ( Results: From 1999 to 2020, 787 375 liver cirrhosis-related deaths occurred in adults > 25. AAMR increased from 16.61 (1999) to 18.93 (2020). Men had a higher AAMR (21.51; 95% CI: 21.44 to 21.57) than women (11.73; 95% CI: 11.68 to 11.77). AAMRs were highest in Non-Hispanic (NH) American Indian (26.42; 95% CI: 25.91 to 26.93) followed by Hispanics (24.93; 95% CI: 24.77 to 25.09), NH White (16.71; 95% CI: 16.67 to 16.75), NH Black (15.13; 95% CI: 15.02 to 15.24), and NH Asian/Pacific Islander (9.29; 95% CI: 9.15 to 9.42). By region, the South had the highest AAMR (18.87; 95% CI: 18.8 to 18.93), followed by the West (15.75; 95% CI: 15.67 to 15.82), Midwest (14.55; 95% CI: 14.47 to 14.62), and Northeast (14.17; 95% CI: 14.1 to 14.25). Micropolitan (Nonmetro) areas had the highest AAMR (17.62; 95% CI: 17.49 to 17.74), while Large Fringe Metro Areas had the lowest AAMR (14.2; 95% CI: 14.13 to 14.27). Texas reported the highest AAMR (25.7); Nebraska reported the lowest (9.4). Discussion: Liver cirrhosis-related mortality has risen since 1999, especially among Hispanic adults, men, and those in Southern or nonmetropolitan regions. Targeted prevention is needed to reduce mortality in these high-risk groups.

Identifiers

PMID41019032
PMCPMC12474855

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.