Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41087962›Full record

ArticleBMC medical imaging2025

Machine learning model based on preoperative MRI and clinical data for predicting pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Piao Yan, Kuinan Tong, Zhenhao Liu, Tianxin Cheng, Xiaoyang Li, Zhixiang Wang, Hongwei Wu, Kun Liu, Hui Xu, Zhenghan Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical imaging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Piao Yan *Department of Radiology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Kuinan Tong *Department of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Zhenhao LiuDepartment of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Changzhi Institute of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No. 2, Zifang Lane, Hero South Road, Luzhou District, Changzhi, 046000, China.
Tianxin ChengDepartment of Radiology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Xiaoyang LiDepartment of Radiology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Zhixiang WangDepartment of Ultrasound, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Hongwei WuDepartment of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Kun LiuDepartment of General Surgery, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China.
Hui Xu *Department of Radiology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China. mr_xuhui@163.com.
Zhenghan Yang *Department of Radiology, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 95, Yong'an Road, Xicheng District, Beijing, 100050, China. yangzhenghan@vip.163.com.

Funding

Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology No.2022YFC2409403National Natural Science Foundation of China No. 82371904
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo establish and validate a machine learning model using preoperative multi-sequence MRI radiomic features and clinical data to predict pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD).

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed 139 patients who underwent PD, dividing them into a training group (n = 97) and a test group (n = 42) through stratified sampling in a 7:3 ratio. Regions of interest (ROI) were delineated on non-enhanced T1-weighted imaging (T1WI), T2-weighted imaging (T2WI), high b-value diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI), apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps, and dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) images; radiomic features were subsequently extracted. The most significant radiomic features were selected using the t-test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with cross-validation (LASSO-CV). We identified clinical risk factors for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) using univariate logistic regression. Ten distinct machine learning algorithms were used to develop radiomics and clinical models, which were then integrated via weighted voting. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves.

resultsEight radiomic features and one clinical feature (BMI) were selected for model construction. Among the ten machine learning algorithms, the Random Forest (RF) algorithm yielded the optimal radiomics model, achieving an AUC of 0.702, an F1-score of 0.571, and an accuracy of 0.857 in the test set. The K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm produced the optimal clinical model, with corresponding values of 0.846, 0.640, and 0.786. Finally, the integrated model, developed using a weighted voting strategy, demonstrated superior comprehensive performance with an AUC of 0.899, showing excellent discrimination and calibration.

conclusionThe machine learning model using preoperative multi-sequence MRI radiomic features showed moderate predictive value for CR-POPF risk, which was significantly enhanced by integrating BMI.

Indexed as

Machine LearningMagnetic Resonance ImagingPancreatic FistulaPancreaticoduodenectomyPostoperative ComplicationsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveMachine learningMagnetic resonance imagingPostoperative pancreatic fistulaPredictionRadiomics

Identifiers

PMID41087962
PMCPMC12523001

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.