Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41089838›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in pharmacology2025

Cost-effectiveness analysis of first-line treatments for recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer in China: an economic evaluation based on network meta-analysis.

Fen Liu, Yuhang Liu, Guilin Song, Yong Pan, Qiao Xia, Haonan Li

3 registry-linked trialsAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in pharmacology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 3 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02358031 phase3completednot on this map

A Phase 3 Clinical Trial of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in First Line Treatment of Recurrent/Metastatic Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

TypeinterventionalSponsorMerck Sharp & Dohme LLCRan2015 to 2023Enrolled882ConditionsRecurrent Head and Neck Cancer, Metastatic Head and Neck CancerArmsPembrolizumab, Cisplatin, Carboplatin, 5-FU, Cetuximab
NCT02383966 phase3completednot on this map

A Multicenter, Randomized, Open-label, Phase III Trial to Assess Efficacy and Safety of Cetuximab When Given in Combination With Cisplatin Plus 5 Fluorouracil Versus Cisplatin Plus 5-fluorouracil Alone for the First-line Treatment of Chinese Subjects With Recurrent and/or Metastatic Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck

TypeinterventionalSponsorMerck KGaA, Darmstadt, GermanyRan2015 to 2021Enrolled243ConditionsCarcinoma, Squamous Cell of Head and NeckArmsCetuximab, Cisplatin/Carboplatin, 5-fluorouracil
NCT04146402 phase3unknown statusnot on this map

SCT-I10A Combined With Standard Chemotherapy Versus Placebo Combined With Standard Chemotherapy in First-line Recurrent/ Metastatic Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC): A Phase III, Multicenter, Randomized, Double-blinded Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorSinocelltech Ltd.Ran2019 to 2022Enrolled330ConditionsHead and Neck Squamous Cell CarcinomaArmsSCT-I10A+chemo, Placebos+chemo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Fen LiuDepartment of Pharmacy, Hunan Cancer Hospital, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Yuhang LiuSchool of Medical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Guilin SongDepartment of Chemical Medicine, Yantai Center for Food And Drug Control, Yantai, China.
Yong PanDepartment of Pharmacy, Hunan Cancer Hospital, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Qiao XiaDepartment of Pharmacy, Hunan Cancer Hospital, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
Haonan LiSchool of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R/M HNSCC) is a common pathological type of head and neck tumors, imposing a huge disease burden in China. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of three first-line treatment regimens for R/M HNSCC approved in China from the perspective of Chinese payers, including cetuximab plus chemotherapy, pembrolizumab as monotherapy or in combination with chemotherapy, and finotonlimab plus chemotherapy, aiming to provide reference for decision-making. Methods: Based on the data from three randomized controlled trials: KEYNOTE-048 (NCT02358031), CHANGE-2 (NCT02383966), and the finotonlimab trial (NCT04146402), we conducted a network meta-analysis and employed partitioned survival model (PSM) to indirectly evaluate and compare the cost-effectiveness of treatments associated with finotonlimab, pembrolizumab (monotherapy or combination), and cetuximab. The simulation cycle of the model was set to 3 weeks, with a study duration of 20 years and a discount rate of 3.0%. The primary outcomes included life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and incremental net monetary benefits (INMBs), with a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 1-3 times China's Results: In the overall population, compared to cetuximab-chemotherapy, pembrolizumab monotherapy (ICER: 85,131.70/QALY) and pembrolizumab-chemotherapy (ICER: 203,545.22/QALY) were less cost-effective, while finotonlimab-chemotherapy (ICER: 161.13/QALY) was significantly more favorable. The net monetary benefit (NMB) analysis supported this finding, with finotonlimab-chemotherapy group having the highest INMB ($4,746.03 vs cetuximab-chemotherapy), followed by pembrolizumab (-$17,381.75) and pembrolizumab-chemotherapy (-$32,841.18). The results were similar in the population with PD-L1 CPS ≥1 and CPS ≥20. The one-way sensitivity analysis revealed that drug costs, the discount rate, and utility values for progression-free survival (PFS) and disease progression (PD) were key parameters significantly impacting the ICERs. Additionally, both probabilistic sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis confirmed that the results of base-case analysis were robust. Conclusion: From the perspective of the Chinese population, finotonlimab-chemotherapy is the most cost-effective first-line treatment for R/M HNSCC, followed by cetuximab-chemotherapy. Pembrolizumab, whether as monotherapy or in combination, does not offer economic benefits.

Indexed as

cetuximabcost-effectivenessfinotonlimabhead and neck squamous cell carcinomapembrolizumab

Identifiers

PMID41089838
PMCPMC12517582

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.