Evidence mapPaperPMID 41100514Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2025

Impact of Covid-19 control strategies on health and GDP growth outcomes in 193 sovereign jurisdictions.

Matt Boyd, Michael G Baker, Amanda Kvalsvig, Nick Wilson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Matt BoydAdapt Research Ltd, Reefton, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1387-5047
Michael G BakerDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.
Amanda KvalsvigDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4184-001X
Nick WilsonDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5118-0676

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic caused approximately 27.3 million excess deaths globally as of June 2024. Despite growing research on pandemic response factors, the effectiveness of different strategic approaches to Covid-19 control remains insufficiently investigated. We aimed to examine associations between Covid-19 pandemic control strategies (including stringent border restrictions) with age-standardized excess mortality and GDP per capita growth outcomes during 2020-2021. We analyzed 193 sovereign jurisdictions with existing Global Burden of Disease Study data. Jurisdictions were classified by implementation of exclusion/elimination strategies reported in published literature, and the level of border restriction measures based on the Oxford Stringency Index. Multivariable analyses adjusted for island status, GDP per capita, and an index of government corruption. Excess mortality was cube root transformed and GDP per capita log transformed for regression analysis. Jurisdictions implementing explicit exclusion/elimination strategies showed the lowest cumulative age-standardized excess mortality (-2.1/100,000) compared to others (166.5/100,000). Island jurisdictions experienced lower mortality (64.8/100,000) than non-islands (194.3/100,000). Duration of border restrictions correlated with reduced excess mortality in islands (Pearson's r = -0.624, p < 0.001; β -0.004, island interaction -0.005, p < 0.001), but not in non-islands. However, this effect weakened when controlling for government corruption in a subsample (lower corruption was associated with lowered mortality). No consistent significant relationships emerged between border measures and GDP growth, suggesting that stringent border restrictions in a pandemic may not significantly harm economies. We concluded that exclusion/elimination strategies and related stringent border restrictions were associated with better health outcomes, particularly for islands. Effectiveness was likely partially mediated by governance quality. Future pandemic planning should consider both control strategy selection and implementation context, both of which are modifiable.

Identifiers

PMID41100514
PMCPMC12530520

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.