Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41125996›Full record

ArticleGeroScience2026

Comparative evaluation of relative fat mass and body mass index in predicting cardiometabolic multimorbidity in older adults: results from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing.

Setor K Kunutsor, Sae Young Jae, Richard S Dey, Jari A Laukkanen

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in GeroScience, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Setor K KunutsorSection of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, Max Rady College of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, R2H 2A6, Canada. skk31@cantab.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2625-0273
Sae Young JaeDepartment of Sport Science, University of Seoul, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Richard S DeyDepartment of Medicine, University of Ghana Hospital, Legon, Ghana.
Jari A LaukkanenInstitute of Clinical Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Relative fat mass (RFM) is a more accurate measure of body fat percentage than body mass index (BMI). However, its association with cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and its predictive value have not been examined. This study evaluated and compared the associations and predictive utility of RFM and BMI for CMM. We analyzed data from 3,348 adults (mean age 64 years; 45.1% male) in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing who were free of hypertension, coronary heart disease, diabetes, and stroke at wave 4 (2008-2009). RFM was derived from height and waist circumference. CMM was defined at wave 10 (2021-2023) as the presence of two or more of hypertension, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or stroke. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and measures of discrimination were estimated. Over 12-15 years of follow-up, 197 participants developed CMM. Restricted cubic spline models showed linear dose-response relationships for both RFM and BMI (p for nonlinearity > .05). Higher RFM was strongly associated with CMM (per 1-SD increase: OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.29-2.15; top vs bottom tertile: OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.46-4.99). Associations for BMI were weaker (per 1-SD increase: OR 1.28, 95% CI 1.12-1.47; top vs bottom tertile: OR 1.88, 95% CI 1.24-2.85). Adding RFM to a conventional risk model modestly increased discrimination (ΔC-index = 0.0088, p = .29) and significantly improved model fit (-2 log likelihood, p < .001). Corresponding values for BMI were ΔC-index = 0.0049 (p = .46) and -2 log likelihood (p < .001). The C-index gain from RFM was 0.0039 greater than BMI (p = .39). In an older UK population, RFM was a stronger indicator and predictor of CMM risk than BMI.

Indexed as

AgingBody Mass IndexCardiovascular DiseasesMultimorbidityAgedEnglandFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsBody mass indexCardiometabolic multimorbidityCohort studyRelative fat mass

Identifiers

PMID41125996
PMCPMC13575043

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.