Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41151833›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2025

An assessment of antimicrobial resistance national action plans and their impact on antibiotic use.

Emily O'Neill, Jinru Wei, Sara Machado, Omar Galarraga, Irene Papanicolas

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Emily O'NeillLSE Health, The London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK emily_oneill@alumni.brown.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-8071-7997
Jinru WeiDepartment of Health Services, Policy and Practice, Center for Health System Sustainability, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.ORCID 0009-0007-4514-9967
Sara MachadoDepartment of Health Services, Policy and Practice, Center for Health System Sustainability, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.
Omar GalarragaDepartment of Health Services, Policy and Practice, The Center for Global Public Health, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.
Irene PapanicolasDepartment of Health Services, Policy and Practice, Center for Health System Sustainability, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.

Funding

Science/Technical CoreP2CHD041020 · NICHD · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI ZHENCHAO QIAN · 2016 to 2026
$7.6M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041020
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionBy 2050, antimicrobial resistance (AMR) could lead to over 10 million deaths annually and $100 trillion in healthcare costs, making it one of the most urgent public health threats. The WHO recommends AMR National Action Plans (AMR NAPs) to address this threat, but the effectiveness of these plans is unknown.

methodsWe estimate the impact of AMR NAPs on retail sales of all antibiotics across 68 countries from 2014 to 2023 using IQVIAs Multinational Integrated Data Analysis System dataset. We further examine the effect of AMR NAP adoption on the proportion of antibiotic sales by WHO AWaRe (Access, Watch, Reserve) classification. To account for differences in the quality of the AMR NAP, we also examine if countries with a better NAP have differential use of antibiotics following its adoption. Finally, we explore whether countries with higher quality NAPs make differential use of azithromycin during the COVID-19 pandemic.

resultsThe adoption of an AMR NAP did not have a significant impact on total retail antibiotic sales. But when accounting for the quality of the AMR NAP, as identified from an evaluation of NAP plans, we find that high-scoring AMR NAPs significantly increased the proportion of retail sales from Access-class agents (0.031; 95% CI 0.003 to 0.06), and significantly decreased the proportion of Watch-class antibiotics (-0.03; 95% CI -0.055 to -0.005) as compared with those with lower scoring or no NAPs. Countries with high-scoring NAPs also exhibited lower retail azithromycin sales per 1000 persons during the COVID-19 pandemic (-49.08; 95% CI -89 to -9.16).

conclusionsCountries with higher quality AMR NAPs exhibit more appropriate use of essential antibiotics overall and less inappropriate utilisation of azithromycin during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with those with no or low-scoring plans. Well-developed AMR NAPs may be a useful policy tool to promote more judicious antibiotic use globally.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsAntimicrobial StewardshipDrug Resistance, MicrobialCOVID-19Global HealthHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2World Health OrganizationAnti-Bacterial AgentsGlobal HealthHealth policyHealth systemsInfections, diseases, disorders, injuries

Identifiers

PMID41151833
PMCPMC12570901

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.