Evidence mapPaperPMID 41174643Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2025

Benefits of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists versus pioglitazone for cardio-hepatic outcomes: a territory-wide target trial emulation.

Lanlan Li, David Tak-Wai Lui, Carol Ho-Yi Fong, Wing-Sun Chow, Ivan Chi-Ho Au, Xi Xiong, Brian Hung-Hin Lang, Carlos King-Ho Wong, Chi-Ho Lee

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Lanlan LiDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
David Tak-Wai LuiDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Carol Ho-Yi FongDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Wing-Sun ChowDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Ivan Chi-Ho AuSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Xi XiongLaboratory of Data Discovery for Health (D24H), Hong Kong SAR, China.
Brian Hung-Hin LangDepartment of Surgery, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Carlos King-Ho WongSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Patrick Manson Building, 7 Sassoon Road, Hong Kong SAR, China. carlosho@hku.hk.
Chi-Ho LeeDepartment of Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China. pchlee@hku.hk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBoth glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist (GLP1RA) and pioglitazone are associated with cardiovascular and hepatic benefits in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, studies that directly compare their cardio-hepatic effects are lacking. We emulated a target trial to compare their effects on adverse liver and cardiovascular outcomes in T2D patients.

methodsWe adopted an "active comparator, new user" design involving T2D patients newly prescribed GLP1RA or pioglitazone between January 2008 and December 2022. The primary outcomes were major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) and cardiovascular events (MACE), with their individual outcomes and heart failure (HF) as secondary outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) via intention-to-treat (ITT) and per-protocol (PP) analyses.

resultsA total of 8922 patients (N = 4461 each group) were included. Compared to pioglitazone users, GLP1RA users had comparable risks of incident MALO (ITT: HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.66-1.34; PP: HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.60-2.15) and MACE (ITT: HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.80-1.22; PP: HR 1.10, 95% CI 0.77-1.58). The risk of HF was significantly lower in GLP1RA users in ITT analysis (HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.51-0.83). The results were consistent across most subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsThe effects on incident major adverse liver and cardiovascular outcomes were comparable between GLP1RA and pioglitazone, although the risk of incident HF was lower with GLP1RA. Treatment decisions for T2D patients at risk of adverse cardio-hepatic events should be individualized, considering HF risk and the need for weight loss, which if present, GLP1RA may be preferred.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHypoglycemic AgentsIncretinsPioglitazoneAgedChemical and Drug Induced Liver InjuryFemaleGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 ReceptorHeart FailureHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentGLP1R protein, humanGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 ReceptorGlucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor AgonistsHypoglycemic AgentsIncretinsPioglitazoneAdverse liver diseasesCardiovascularGLP1RAGlucose-lowering medicationsType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID41174643
PMCPMC12577280

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.