Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41188781›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Climate change and malaria: an old enemy of Africa is back.

Walter Leal Filho, Gouvidé Jean Gbaguidi, Roberto Ariel Abeldaño Zuñiga, Umar Ibrahim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Walter Leal FilhoDepartment of Natural Science, Manchester Metropolitan University, Chester Street, Manchester, M1 5GD, UK.
Gouvidé Jean GbaguidiHamburg University of Applied Sciences, Research and Transfer Centre Sustainability and Climate Change Management, Interdisciplinary Expert Centre for Climate Change and Health (IECCCH), Faculty of Life Sciences, Ulmenliet 20, D-21033, Hamburg, Germany. gouvidejeang@gmail.com.
Roberto Ariel Abeldaño ZuñigaFaculty of Social Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland.
Umar IbrahimPublic and Environmental Health Department, Federal University Dutse, Jigawa State, Dutse, Nigeria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMalaria is one of the deadliest transmissible diseases in Sub-Saharan Africa. The control of malaria is hindered by socio-economic and environmental factors and its growth is also associated with climate change, particularly temperature increases combined with precipitations and humidity.

objectivesThis study aims to analyse the trends of malaria in the last two decades and assess the influences of climate change on the transmission of malaria in Africa.

methodsMalaria incidence and evolution trends were used to evaluate the current burden of malaria in Africa. The Pearson correlation coefficient, joinpoint regression and linear regression models were applied to identify significant temporal shifts in malaria incidence trends across the selected countries and determine the impact of climate change on the transmission of malaria.

resultsOur findings reveal that mean temperature is the main climatic factor affecting the transmission of malaria in many countries, including Angola, Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Mozambique, and Uganda. Warmer temperatures generally increase the risk of malaria transmission, except in Ghana, where higher temperatures are associated with a decreased risk. Precipitation has a significant negative association with malaria incidence in Burkina Faso and Uganda, indicating that increased rainfall reduces transmission.

conclusionsThe study results provide useful insights on how climate change influences malaria in African countries, and reiterates the need for a greater engagement of policymakers and social partners, in intensifying the action needed to fight the transmission of malaria in Sub-Sahara Africa.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeMalariaAfricaAfrica South of the SaharaHumansIncidenceTemperatureAdaptationAfricaClimate changeMalaria

Identifiers

PMID41188781
PMCPMC12584417

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.