SynthesisJournal of Crohn's & colitis2025
Placebo rates in randomized clinical trials of ulcerative colitis: an individual patient data meta-analysis.
Synthesis in Journal of Crohn's & colitis, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- The impact of global recruitment and country income on placebo rates in inflammatory bowel disease clinical trials.Journal of Crohn's & colitis · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
18 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND
aimsWe assessed placebo rates and associated factors using individual patient data (IDP) from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) in ulcerative colitis (UC).
methodsWe conducted an IPD meta-analysis using Vivli and Yale University Open Data Access data-sharing platforms. Phase 2 and 3 RCTs of advanced biologics in adults with moderate-to-severe UC published since 2010 were included. Pooled placebo rates and 95% CIs were estimated using one- and two-stage meta-analytical approaches. Significant patient-level factors (P < .05) were identified using regression analyses. Primary outcomes were clinical response and remission.
resultsData were available for 1703 patients from nine studies. For induction trials, overall placebo response and remission rates were 33% (95% CI 29%-38%) and 9% (95% CI 7%-11%). Overall placebo response and remission rates in maintenance trials were 28% (95% CI 18%-41%) and 14% (95% CI 9%-20%). A lower body mass index reduced the odds of placebo response and remission, while higher baseline albumin levels and left-sided (compared to extensive) UC increased the odds of these outcomes. A 1-point increase in the Mayo Clinic Score (MCS) and adapted MCS was associated with a 26% and 27% reduction in odds of clinical remission. For induction trials, prior biologic exposure was associated with lower odds of response and remission. Multicenter trials have lower placebo effects than single-center trials.
conclusionsThese results enable future trials to incorporate design elements that reduce placebo rates as well as a precise benchmark for expected rates in clinical trials that do not include placebo.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.