Evidence mapPaperPMID 41220727Full record

ArticleJournal of gastrointestinal oncology2025

Trends and incidence of stomach cancer in middle-aged and elderly populations: a global burden of disease analysis.

Yubao Tang, Danyang Wang, Zhicheng Xu, Hanyu Wang, Haixia Tian, Weijing Wang, Dong Hua

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of gastrointestinal oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yubao Tang *Department of General Surgery, Affiliated Yangzhou Women and Children's Hospital, Yangzhou University School of Medicine, Yangzhou, China.
Danyang Wang *Department of Oncology, The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, China.
Zhicheng XuDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, China.
Hanyu WangDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Children's Hospital of Jiangnan University, Wuxi, China.
Haixia TianDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, China.
Weijing WangDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, China.
Dong HuaDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Wuxi People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Wuxi, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0007-4129-2571

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Stomach cancer remains a leading cause of cancer deaths in middle-aged and elderly populations. This study aimed to examine global trends in incidence among individuals aged 50-74 years and to explore disparities by age, sex, and region using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. Methods: Data on stomach cancer incidence were extracted from the GBD 2021 database. We analyzed incidence rates for individuals aged 50-74 years, stratified by age, sex, and geographic region. Trends from 1990 to 2021 were evaluated using the Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) based on log-linear regression models. Pearson correlation was used to examine associations between incidence trends and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Data standardization was based on the GBD world standard population. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the number of stomach cancer cases among individuals aged 50-74 years increased by 17.32%, while the incidence rates declined from 80.67 to 44.18 per 100,000 (EAPC: -2.15). Males consistently exhibited higher incidence rates than females. The decline was less pronounced in older age groups, particularly those aged 65-74 years, where the number of cases continued to rise, reflecting population aging and cumulative risk exposure. High-SDI regions experienced the largest reductions (e.g., East Asia: EAPC -2.02), whereas progress was limited in low-SDI areas such as Southern and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa. A strong negative correlation between SDI and incidence trends (ρ=-0.491) underscored the influence of socioeconomic development on disease reduction. Conclusions: This study reveals marked regional and demographic disparities in stomach cancer trends among aging populations. Socioeconomic development plays a central role in reducing incidence. To reduce global health inequities, efforts should prioritize equitable access to screening and treatment, culturally tailored prevention programs, and investment in healthcare infrastructure in low-SDI regions.

Indexed as

elderly populationsglobal burdenincidencemiddle-agedStomach cancer

Identifiers

PMID41220727
PMCPMC12598352

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.