Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41224478›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2025

Continued versus discontinued oral anticoagulant treatment for unprovoked venous thromboembolism: target trial emulation.

Kueiyu Joshua Lin, Dae Hyun Kim, Daniel E Singer, Yichi Zhang, Alexander Cervone, Anna R Kehoe, Katsiaryna Bykov

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Residual thromboembolic risk and outcomes of oral anticoagulation discontinuation after atrial fibrillation ablation: a target trial emulation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kueiyu Joshua LinDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02120, USA jklin@bwh.harvard.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-4564-3715
Dae Hyun KimFrailty Research Center, Marcus Institute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Daniel E SingerDivision of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Yichi ZhangDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02120, USA.
Alexander CervoneDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02120, USA.
Anna R KehoeDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02120, USA.
Katsiaryna BykovDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02120, USA.

Funding

A targeted analytical framework to optimize posthospitalization delirium pharmacotherapy in patients with Alzheimers disease and related dementiasR01AG081412 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI JOSHUA K LIN · 2023 to 2026
$3.4M
Novel approaches to identify and quantify the impact of drug-drug interactions in older adults with diabetes, with a focus on multimorbidity and polypharmacyK01AG068365 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BYKOV, KATSIARYNA · 2021 to 2025
$621k
NIA NIH HHS K01 AG068365NIA NIH HHS R01 AG081412
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo compare the effect on health outcomes of continuing or discontinuing oral anticoagulants (OACs) among patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) after initial treatment for at least 90 days.

designTarget trial emulation.

settingOptum Clinformatics Data Mart (Optum CDM) from 1 January 2009 to 28 Februray 2025, and Medicare fee-for-service claims from 1 January 2009 to 31 December 2022, United States.

participantsAdults with VTE aged ≥18 years (Optum CDM) or ≥65 years (Medicare) initiating OACs (warfarin or direct OACs) within 30 days after a first hospital admission with VTE without reversible provoking factors and who continued treatment for ≥90 days. Propensity score one-to-one matching was performed between patients who continued and those who discontinued treatment (ie, absence of a refilled prescription within 30 days).

main outcome measuresThe primary outcomes were hospital admission for recurrent VTE (effectiveness) and major bleeding (safety). Secondary outcomes were net clinical benefit (a composite of recurrent VTE and bleeding) and mortality. Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios and generalized linear models estimated rate differences per 1000 person years. Analyses were stratified by length of initial OAC treatment (90-179, 180-359, 360-719, 720-1079, or ≥1080 days).

resultsThe study cohort included 30 554 propensity score matched pairs who had continued or discontinued an OAC (mean age 73.9 years, 57.0% women). After initial anticoagulation of ≥90 days, compared with those who discontinued treatment, those who continued treatment had markedly lower rates of recurrent VTE (adjusted hazard ratio 0.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.13 to 0.29; adjusted rate difference per 1000 person years -25.50, 95% CI -39.38 to -11.63), higher rates of major bleeding (1.75, 1.52 to 2.02; 4.78, 1.95 to 7.61), lower mortality rates (0.74, 0.69 to 0.79; -14.31, -22.02 to -6.59), and greater net clinical benefit (0.39, 0.36 to 0.42; -21.01, -32.31 to -9.71). The greater net clinical benefit was consistent across OAC types and length of initial OAC treatment.

conclusionBased on two US nationally representative routine care databases, continuing versus discontinuing OAC after initial anticoagulation of ≥90 days was associated with lower risk of recurrent VTE, higher risk of major bleeding, and a net clinical benefit. This observation persisted among those using OACs for at least three years after VTE.

Indexed as

AnticoagulantsVenous ThromboembolismWithholding TreatmentAdministration, OralAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHemorrhageHospitalizationHumansMaleMedicareMiddle AgedPropensity ScoreRecurrenceTreatment OutcomeAnticoagulantsWarfarin

Identifiers

PMID41224478
PMCPMC12607009

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.