Evidence mapPaperPMID 41225338Full record

ArticleBMC microbiology2025

XGBoost-based urinary microbial signatures enable non-invasive diagnosis and prognosis for urothelial carcinoma.

Hao Xie, Changming Dong, Yue Li, Jiahao Guo, Yufan Yang, Jinshan Yang, Xinxin Li, Jiazi Cha, Shixian Hu, Chunhua Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC microbiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Hao Xie *School of Clinical Medicine, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261000, China.
Changming Dong *Department of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China.
Yue LiDepartment of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China.
Jiahao GuoDepartment of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China.
Yufan YangDepartment of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China.
Jinshan YangDepartment of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China.
Xinxin LiSchool of Clinical Medicine, Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, Shandong, 261000, China.
Jiazi ChaDepartment of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China.
Shixian HuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat- Sen University, 58 Zhongshan 2nd Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China. hushx9@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Chunhua LinDepartment of Urology, The Affiliated Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital of Qingdao University, 20 Yuhuangding East Road, Yantai, Shandong, 264000, China. chunhua.lin@qdu.edu.cn.

Funding

Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation ZR2024MH305Taishan Scholar Program of Shandong Province no. Tsqn202103198The development of scientific and technological innovation in Yantai 2024YT06000818
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUrothelial carcinoma (UC) is the most common malignant tumor of the urinary system, characterized by high incidence and recurrence rates, posing a serious threat to human health. While previous studies have linked urinary microbiota alterations to bladder cancer, little is known about the broader spectrum of UC subtypes or their clinical implications. To address this gap, we analyzed microbiota profiles across multiple UC subtypes, incorporating microbial network analyses and machine learning to establish diagnostic models and identify prognostic biomarkers.

methodA total of 112 subjects were enrolled for 16 S rDNA sequencing of clean-catch midstream urine samples, including 63 patients with bladder cancer (BCA), 29 with Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma (UTUC), 9 with renal pelvis cancer (RPC), and 40 healthy controls (HC). Microbial diversity, community networks, and clinical associations were analyzed. An XGBoost-based diagnostic model was developed with a 70/30 train-test split, cross-validation, and external validation. Model interpretability was assessed with the SHAP algorithm.

resultsUC groups showed elevated α-diversity versus HC, with consistent enrichment of Streptococcus and Clostridium. Microbial structure networks significantly differed in tumors. A urinary microbiota-based diagnostic model achieved high accuracy for BCA detection (AUC = 0.927), and Lachnospiraceae family members showed potential prognostic value.

conclusionOur study illuminates the microbial profiles in the UC and suggests that urinary microbiota signatures represent promising non-invasive independent biomarker for the diagnosis and prognosis of UC.

Indexed as

BacteriaCarcinoma, Transitional CellMicrobiotaUrinary Bladder NeoplasmsUrineUrologic NeoplasmsAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkers, TumorBoosting Machine Learning AlgorithmsFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisBiomarkers, TumorRNA, Ribosomal, 16SIntratumoural microbiomeMicrobePrognosisUrothelial carcinomaXGBoost

Identifiers

PMID41225338
PMCPMC12613335

What Socratic holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.