Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41230710›Full record

ArticleClinical pharmacology and therapeutics2026

Longitudinal Analysis of Manually and Automatically Classified Circulating Tumor Biomarkers and their Prediction of Survival in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

Maddalena Centanni, Afroditi Nanou, Leon W M M Terstappen, Kees J A Punt, Frank A W Coumans, Mats O Karlsson, Lena E Friberg

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical pharmacology and therapeutics, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Maddalena CentanniDepartment of Pharmacy, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-6594-9813
Afroditi NanouDepartment of Medical Cell BioPhysics, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8682-3133
Leon W M M TerstappenDepartment of Medical Cell BioPhysics, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5944-3787
Kees J A PuntDepartment of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Frank A W CoumansDecisive Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6282-6009
Mats O KarlssonDepartment of Pharmacy, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-1258-8297
Lena E FribergDepartment of Pharmacy, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2979-679X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and tumor-derived extracellular vesicles (tdEVs) are promising biomarkers for predicting survival and informing treatment decisions in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC); yet their clinical application remains limited. In this study, we analyzed CellSearch image archives from 446 patients with mCRC treated in the CAIRO2 study to evaluate the predictive value of CTCs and tdEVs and explore their utility in guiding personalized therapy. Using pharmacodynamic modeling, we examined longitudinal changes in manually and automatically classified CTC and tdEV counts, assessing their relationship with tumor size dynamics and overall survival. Automated tdEV counts demonstrated the strongest association with survival, followed by automated CTCs, which outperformed manually assessed counts. The combination of automated tdEVs and manual CTCs further improved predictive performance. Simulations predict transitioning high-risk patients (CTC/tdEV score >1.75) to second-line FOLFIRI at week 4 or 10 improves median survival from 15.1 months (12.8-18.4 CI) to 22.7 months (17.1-35.8 CI), and from 13.3 months (10.5-21.7 CI) to 23.3 months (17.8-31.2 CI), respectively. Additionally, biomarker monitoring demonstrated reduced cost (€3,913 vs. €7,802) and environmental burden (10 kg vs. 167 kg CO

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorColorectal NeoplasmsExtracellular VesiclesNeoplastic Cells, CirculatingAgedAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCamptothecinFemaleFluorouracilHumansLeucovorinLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm MetastasisPredictive Value of TestsBiomarkers, TumorCamptothecinFluorouracilLeucovorin

Identifiers

PMID41230710
PMCPMC12816431

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.