Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41233686›Full record

ArticleInternal and emergency medicine2025

Global, regional, and national burden and attributable risk factors of chronic respiratory diseases from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2030.

Chaomin Ren, Jinbo Li, Bingqing Zheng, Ren Li, Na Cao, Yuqiong Zhang, Linlin Guan, Jiayu Tian, Dongxing Shi, Lifang Zhao and 1 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Internal and emergency medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Chaomin Ren *School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Jinbo Li *School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Bingqing ZhengSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Ren LiSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Na CaoSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Yuqiong ZhangSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Linlin GuanSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Jiayu TianSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Dongxing ShiSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Lifang ZhaoSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China.
Zhihong ZhangSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, 56 Xinjian South Road, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi, China. zzh1973@sxmu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0003-4458-1065

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China No. 82273595
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs) constitute a major global health burden, yet comprehensive assessments of their long-term trends, attributable risks, and future trajectories are still needed to inform public health strategies. Comprehensively analysing the global, regional, and national burden of CRDs from 1990 to 2021, evaluating the risk factors, and forecasting future trends to guide public health policies. Using the Global Burden of Diseases (GBD) 2021 data, we estimated the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of CRDs from 1990 to 2021. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was calculated to evaluate burden trends, and a Bayesian age-period-cohort model predicted the trends in age-standardized rates (ASRs). In 2021, global CRD incidence reached 55.21 million, with 4.41 million deaths. Among all CRDs, asthma exhibited the highest incidence and prevalence, whereas chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) caused the highest mortality and DALY. Regionally, High-income North America had the highest ASIR and ASPR of CRDs, while Oceania showed the highest ASMR and ASDR in 2021. In terms of age distribution, the incidences of COPD, interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis (ILD & PS), and pneumoconiosis (PNE) were the highest number of incident cases occurred in the 65-74 age group. Asthma, however, showed the highest incidence in the < 9 age group. Regarding risk factors, smoking caused 31.04% of all CRD-related deaths globally in 2021, while high body mass index accounted for 14.36% of asthma-related deaths. From 2022 to 2030, CRDs' ASIRs are projected to decline overall, with male ASIRs higher than female ASIRs. The findings reveal significant and uneven global CRD burden, and their mitigation warrants policy focus on tobacco control and obesity management.

Indexed as

Respiratory Tract DiseasesAdultAgedBayes TheoremChronic DiseaseCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceChronic respiratory diseasesGlobal burden of disease studyProjectionsRisk factors

Identifiers

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.