Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41235309›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in nutrition2025

Cumulative atherosclerosis index of plasma exposure and new-onset diabetes in middle-aged and older adults: a prospective cohort analysis from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study.

Yu Li, Rong Gu, Li Chen, Qi Zhao, Yue Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in nutrition, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yu LiNanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Rong GuNanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Li ChenNanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Qi ZhaoNanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Yue WangNanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: China bears the world's largest diabetes burden (116 million adults). The Cumulative Atherosclerosis Index of Plasma (CumAIP), reflecting lipid-driven atherogenicity, may contribute to diabetes pathogenesis. This study investigates longitudinal associations between cumulative CumAIP exposure and diabetes incidence in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. Method: Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), we analyzed 10,395 diabetes-free participants at baseline (2011) with follow-ups in 2013, 2015, and 2018. Multivariable logistic regression adjusted for sociodemographic (age, gender, education), lifestyle (smoking, alcohol, sleep, physical activity), and clinical factors (systolic and diastolic blood pressure, BMI, waist circumference). Restricted cubic splines assessed dose-response relationships. Result: Over 7 years, 793 participants (15.73%) developed diabetes. The highest CumAIP quartile (Q4) had a 3.43-fold elevated diabetes risk vs. Q1 (OR = 3.82, 95% CI: 3.13-4.67). A linear dose-response relationship was observed (p for nonlinearity=0.44); each interquartile increase in CumAIP above 1.03 elevated risk by 90% (OR = 1.90, 95% CI: 1.75-2.07). CumAIP predicted diabetes moderately (AUC=0.64, cutoff = 1.03). Conclusion: Cumulative CumAIP exposure independently predicts diabetes incidence in middle-to-older adults, highlighting its potential for clinical risk stratification.

Indexed as

cumulative atherosclerosis index of plasma exposuredose-response relationshipnew-onset diabetesprospective cohort studyrestricted cubic spline regression

Identifiers

PMID41235309
PMCPMC12605295

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.